Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultPafos to win ✗61% · @1.62
Double chancePafos or draw ✓86% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Nea Salamis vs Pafos: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pafos travel to face Nea Salamis on Monday 26 October in the 1. Division, with Ammochostos Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Nea Salamis are 10th, lower half, on 8 points after 9 matches; Pafos are 6th (upper half) with 16.
Current form
Nea Salamis, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over APEA, at home. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Pafos, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Riga, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nea Salamis 0.9 xG, Pafos 2.1 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nea Salamis 14%, draw 25%, Pafos 61%.
Lower-risk option: Pafos or draw (86%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.65, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nea Salamis 1–2 Pafos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nea Salamis14%fair 7.18 · @4.80
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.50
Pafos61%fair 1.65 · @1.62
3.00Expected goals
0.94Nea Salamis xG
2.06Pafos xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–110%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Nea Salamis 0.9 – 2.1 Pafos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pafos to win✗
61%
1.65
1.62
Double chance
Pafos or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.70
Draw no bet
Pafos (draw no bet)
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Pafos -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Pafos to score first✗
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Pafos ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pafos / FT Pafos✗
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.07
–
Recent results
Nea Salamis – last 6
WLLWWL
21 Oct
vs APEA
4–0
W
17 Oct
@ Apollon Limassol
2–4
L
10 Oct
@ Apoel Nicosia
1–2
L
2 Oct
@ Ermis
3–0
W
19 Sep
vs Anorthosis
3–0
W
11 Sep
@ AEL
1–2
L
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Pafos – last 6
DDLWLW
22 Oct
vs Riga
1–1
D
19 Oct
vs Apoel Nicosia
0–0
D
15 Oct
@ Atalanta
1–3
L
11 Oct
@ Anorthosis
3–1
W
18 Sep
vs AEL
0–2
L
13 Sep
@ AEK Larnaca
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nea Salamis and Pafos.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Nea Salamis vs Pafos?
On our numbers Nea Salamis have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Pafos 61%.
How many goals will there be in Nea Salamis vs Pafos?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nea Salamis vs Pafos?
Our predicted score is Nea Salamis 1–2 Pafos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Nea Salamis vs Pafos?
Nea Salamis vs Pafos (1. Division) kicks off on Monday 26 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Ammochostos Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
