Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAEK Larnaca to win ✓71% · @1.18
Double chanceAEK Larnaca or draw ✓89% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.56
AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Karmiotissa travel to face AEK Larnaca on Friday 6 November in the 1. Division, with AEK Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, AEK Larnaca are 1st, leading the league, on 20 points after 9 matches; Karmiotissa are 12th (in the drop zone) with 6. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
AEK Larnaca, last 5: DWDDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Krasava Ypsonas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Karmiotissa, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Ermis, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours AEK Larnaca, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Karmiotissa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AEK Larnaca 2.3 xG, Karmiotissa 0.8 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 53% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AEK Larnaca 71%, draw 17%, Karmiotissa 11%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (59%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.69, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: AEK Larnaca 2–0 Karmiotissa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AEK Larnaca71%fair 1.40 · @1.18
Draw17%fair 5.75 · @6.50
Karmiotissa11%fair 8.96 · @12.00
3.01Expected goals
2.25AEK Larnaca xG
0.76Karmiotissa xG
53%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–011%
2–19%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: AEK Larnaca 2.3 – 0.8 Karmiotissa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AEK Larnaca to win✓
71%
1.40
1.18
Double chance
AEK Larnaca or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
AEK Larnaca (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
AEK Larnaca -1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.73
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.30
First team to score
AEK Larnaca to score first✓
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
AEK Larnaca ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AEK Larnaca / FT AEK Larnaca✓
47%
2.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.56
–
Recent results
AEK Larnaca – last 6
DWDDWW
31 Oct
@ Krasava Ypsonas
2–2
D
26 Oct
vs Omonia Nicosia
2–0
W
21 Oct
vs Akritas
2–2
D
18 Oct
@ Aris
1–1
D
12 Oct
vs Omonia Aradippou
1–0
W
18 Sep
@ Omonia 29is Maiou
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Karmiotissa – last 6
WWLLLD
3 Nov
vs Ermis
2–0
W
30 Oct
vs Olympiakos
1–0
W
25 Oct
vs Apollon Limassol
0–5
L
17 Oct
@ Krasava Ypsonas
1–2
L
9 Oct
vs Omonia Nicosia
0–3
L
20 Sep
@ Aris
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AEK Larnaca and Karmiotissa.
What is the prediction for AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa?
On our numbers AEK Larnaca have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Karmiotissa 11%.
How many goals will there be in AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa?
Our predicted score is AEK Larnaca 2–0 Karmiotissa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa?
AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa (1. Division) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at AEK Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
