Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Strumska Slava to win @ 1.83 – our chance 61% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultStrumska Slava to win ✓61% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.47
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.10
Kyustendil vs Strumska Slava: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 4 November the Third League Southwest brings Kyustendil against Strumska Slava. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Kyustendil are 15th, lower half, on 17 points after 15 matches; Strumska Slava are 4th (among the top four) with 24.
Current form
Kyustendil, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Slavia Sofia II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Strumska Slava, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Levski Sofia II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kyustendil 1.1 xG, Strumska Slava 1.9 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kyustendil 26%, draw 13%, Strumska Slava 61%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.47.
Price worth noting: Strumska Slava to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kyustendil 1–1 Strumska Slava. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kyustendil26%fair 3.90 · @3.26
Draw13%fair 7.59 · @3.89
Strumska Slava61%fair 1.63 · @1.83
2.93Expected goals
1.05Kyustendil xG
1.87Strumska Slava xG
61%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–29%
1–36%
0–36%
From our goals model: Kyustendil 1.1 – 1.9 Strumska Slava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Strumska Slava to win✓
61%
1.63
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
87%
1.15
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.47
Draw no bet
Strumska Slava (draw no bet)✓
70%
1.42
–
Asian handicap
Kyustendil +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.49
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Strumska Slava to score first✓
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Strumska Slava ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Strumska Slava / FT Strumska Slava✓
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
10%
10.10
–
Recent results
Kyustendil – last 6
WWDDLL
31 Oct
@ Slavia Sofia II
2–0
W
28 Oct
vs Botev Ihtiman
1–0
W
24 Oct
vs Belasitsa
0–0
D
7 Oct
@ Oborishte
2–2
D
26 Sep
vs Bansko
0–3
L
19 Sep
@ FK Minyor Pernik
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Strumska Slava – last 6
DDLWLW
28 Oct
vs Levski Sofia II
2–2
D
24 Oct
@ Slavia Sofia II
1–1
D
3 Oct
vs Septemvri Simitli
1–2
L
26 Sep
vs Belasitsa
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Oborishte
2–3
L
12 Sep
vs Bansko
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kyustendil and Strumska Slava.
What is the prediction for Kyustendil vs Strumska Slava?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Kyustendil vs Strumska Slava?
On our numbers Kyustendil have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Strumska Slava 61%.
How many goals will there be in Kyustendil vs Strumska Slava?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kyustendil vs Strumska Slava?
Our predicted score is Kyustendil 1–1 Strumska Slava, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Kyustendil vs Strumska Slava?
Kyustendil vs Strumska Slava (Third League Southwest) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
