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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Dunfermline v Ross County: numbers & prediction

League Cup · Scotland · East End Park
1–2
FT
Dunfermline 42%Draw 22%Ross County 37% Expected goals 1.65 – 1.54
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Ross County to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultDunfermline to win ✗42% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.57

Dunfermline vs Ross County: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Dunfermline welcome Ross County to East End Park for a League Cup fixture on Saturday 15 August (15:00 WAT).

Current form

Dunfermline, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ayr Utd, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Ross County, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Elgin City, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Momentum favours Ross County, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.8 for Dunfermline.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Mar 2026) it ended Dunfermline 3–0 Ross County.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Dunfermline 1.7 xG, Ross County 1.5 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Dunfermline 42%, draw 22%, Ross County 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.62.
  • Price worth noting: Ross County to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dunfermline 1–1 Ross County. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Dunfermline42%fair 2.41 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.30
Ross County37%fair 2.72 · @3.00
3.19Expected goals
1.65Dunfermline xG
1.54Ross County xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%

From our goals model: Dunfermline 1.7 – 1.5 Ross County expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDunfermline to win ✗42%2.412.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.611.62
Draw no betDunfermline (draw no bet) ✗53%1.88–
Asian handicapRoss County +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.281.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.761.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.541.35
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
First team to scoreDunfermline to score first50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓38%2.61–
Half-time / full-timeHT Dunfermline / FT Dunfermline ✗24%4.11–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.57–

Recent results

Dunfermline – last 6

DDWWWL
8 Augvs Ayr Utd1–1D
1 Aug@ Inverness CT0–0D
26 Jul@ ST Mirren1–0W
21 Julvs Cove Rangers5–0W
14 Julvs Dumbarton4–1W
11 Jul@ East Kilbride0–3L
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Ross County – last 6

WWWWDW
11 Aug@ Elgin City2–1W
8 Augvs Montrose2–1W
1 Aug@ Peterhead1–0W
25 Jul@ Airdrie United3–0W
21 Julvs Dundee1–1D
18 Julvs Clyde3–1W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Mar 2026Dunfermline v Ross County3–0
Dunfermline vs Ross County head-to-head page →

More League Cup predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dunfermline vs Ross County?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Dunfermline vs Ross County?

On our numbers Dunfermline have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ross County 37%.

How many goals will there be in Dunfermline vs Ross County?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Dunfermline vs Ross County?

Our predicted score is Dunfermline 1–1 Ross County, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Dunfermline vs Ross County?

Dunfermline vs Ross County (League Cup) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at East End Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.