Value bet: Al Okhdood to win @ 2.90 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAl Okhdood to win ✗39% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗6% · fair 17.79
Al Okhdood vs Al Najma: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al Okhdood welcome Al Najma to Prince Hathloul bin Abdul Aziz Sports City for a Division 1 fixture on Monday 7 September (18:20 WAT). In the table, Al Okhdood are 15th, lower half, on 7 points after 10 matches; Al Najma are 4th (among the top four) with 19. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Al Okhdood, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Al Saqer, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Al Najma, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Al Jabalain, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Okhdood 0.9 xG, Al Najma 0.8 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 77%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Okhdood 39%, draw 25%, Al Najma 36%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Al Okhdood to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 1.91). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Okhdood 1–1 Al Najma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Okhdood39%fair 2.57 · @2.90
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @2.75
Al Najma36%fair 2.75 · @2.30
1.67Expected goals
0.86Al Okhdood xG
0.81Al Najma xG
51%Both score
23%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–019%
1–016%
0–115%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Al Okhdood 0.9 – 0.8 Al Najma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Okhdood to win✗
39%
2.57
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
1.91
Draw no bet
Al Okhdood (draw no bet)
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Al Najma +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Al Okhdood to score first
42%
2.40
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
55%
1.83
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
26%
3.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
6%
17.79
–
Recent results
Al Okhdood – last 6
DDWWLD
31 Aug
@ Al Saqer
0–0
D
26 Aug
@ Al Bukayriyah
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Al Taee
2–0
W
18 Aug
vs Al Khaleej Saihat
2–0
W
21 May
@ Al Riyadh
0–1
L
12 May
@ Al Kholood
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Al Najma – last 6
DLWLWL
1 Sep
vs Al Jabalain
1–1
D
27 Aug
@ Jeddah Club
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs Al Jandal
2–1
W
18 Aug
vs Al-Ittihad FC
0–3
L
20 May
vs Al Shabab
1–0
W
14 May
@ Al-Fateh
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Okhdood and Al Najma.
What is the prediction for Al Okhdood vs Al Najma?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Al Okhdood vs Al Najma?
On our numbers Al Okhdood have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Al Najma 36%.
How many goals will there be in Al Okhdood vs Al Najma?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 23% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Okhdood vs Al Najma?
Our predicted score is Al Okhdood 1–1 Al Najma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Al Okhdood vs Al Najma?
Al Okhdood vs Al Najma (Division 1) kicks off on Monday 7 September 2026 at 18:20 (West Africa Time) at Prince Hathloul bin Abdul Aziz Sports City.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
