Al Najma 42%Draw 22%Al-Raed 36%Expected goals 1.38 – 1.25
58%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultAl Najma to win ✗42% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.63
Al Najma vs Al-Raed: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al Najma welcome Al-Raed to King Abdullah Sports City Stadium for a Division 1 fixture on Monday 14 September (18:20 WAT). In the table, Al Najma are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 11 matches; Al-Raed are 11th (lower half) with 13.
Current form
Al Najma, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Al Okhdood, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Al-Raed, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Al Jeel, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Najma 1.4 xG, Al-Raed 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Najma 42%, draw 22%, Al-Raed 36%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Najma 1–1 Al-Raed. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Najma42%fair 2.36 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.25
Al-Raed36%fair 2.78 · @2.75
2.63Expected goals
1.38Al Najma xG
1.25Al-Raed xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Al Najma 1.4 – 1.2 Al-Raed expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Najma to win✗
42%
2.36
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.70
Draw no bet
Al Najma (draw no bet)
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
Al-Raed +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Al Najma to score first
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Najma / FT Al Najma✗
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.63
–
Recent results
Al Najma – last 6
DDLWLW
7 Sep
@ Al Okhdood
2–2
D
1 Sep
vs Al Jabalain
1–1
D
27 Aug
@ Jeddah Club
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs Al Jandal
2–1
W
18 Aug
vs Al-Ittihad FC
0–3
L
20 May
vs Al Shabab
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Al-Raed – last 6
WLLWLW
9 Sep
vs Al Jeel
3–0
W
2 Sep
@ Al Ula
0–2
L
28 Aug
vs Hajer
2–3
L
22 Aug
@ Al Orubah
1–0
W
17 Aug
vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC
0–2
L
13 May
vs Abha
5–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Najma and Al-Raed.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Al Najma vs Al-Raed?
On our numbers Al Najma have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Al-Raed 36%.
How many goals will there be in Al Najma vs Al-Raed?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Najma vs Al-Raed?
Our predicted score is Al Najma 1–1 Al-Raed, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Al Najma vs Al-Raed?
Al Najma vs Al-Raed (Division 1) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 18:20 (West Africa Time) at King Abdullah Sports City Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
