Al Najma 57%Draw 23%Damac 21%Expected goals 1.50 – 0.75
79%
Betarazi pick
Al Najma or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultAl Najma to win ✓57% · @1.85
Double chanceAl Najma or draw ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.24
Al Najma vs Damac: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:15 WAT, Monday 12 October: Al Najma v Damac in the Division 1, played at King Abdullah Sports City Stadium. In the table, Al Najma are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 11 matches; Damac are 5th (upper half) with 19. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Al Najma, last 5: DDDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Al Anwar, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Damac, last 5: WWLDD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Al-Adalah, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (12 Mar 2026) it ended Al Najma 1–3 Damac.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Najma 1.5 xG, Damac 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Najma 57%, draw 23%, Damac 21%.
Lower-risk option: Al Najma or draw (79%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Al Najma or draw (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Najma 1–0 Damac. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Najma57%fair 1.76 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.10
Damac21%fair 4.87 · @3.75
2.25Expected goals
1.50Al Najma xG
0.75Damac xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
1–112%
2–012%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Al Najma 1.5 – 0.8 Damac expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Al Najma or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Al Najma vs Damac?
On our numbers Al Najma have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Damac 21%.
How many goals will there be in Al Najma vs Damac?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Najma vs Damac?
Our predicted score is Al Najma 1–0 Damac, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Al Najma vs Damac?
Al Najma vs Damac (Division 1) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at King Abdullah Sports City Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
