Al Najma 57%Draw 25%Al Zulfi 18%Expected goals 1.49 – 0.70
82%
Betarazi pick
Al Najma or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Al Najma to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAl Najma to win ✓57% · @1.95
Double chanceAl Najma or draw ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.50
Al Najma vs Al Zulfi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al Najma welcome Al Zulfi to King Abdullah Sports City Stadium for a Division 1 fixture on Wednesday 28 October (16:05 WAT). In the table, Al Najma are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 11 matches; Al Zulfi are 6th (upper half) with 18. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Al Najma, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Hajer, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Al Zulfi, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Al Ula, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Najma 1.5 xG, Al Zulfi 0.7 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Najma 57%, draw 25%, Al Zulfi 18%.
Lower-risk option: Al Najma or draw (82%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Al Najma to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Al Najma or draw (82%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.22, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Najma 1–0 Al Zulfi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Najma57%fair 1.76 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.00
Al Zulfi18%fair 5.57 · @3.50
2.19Expected goals
1.49Al Najma xG
0.70Al Zulfi xG
51%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–012%
1–112%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Al Najma 1.5 – 0.7 Al Zulfi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Najma to win✓
57%
1.76
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Al Najma or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.80
Draw no bet
Al Najma (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Al Zulfi +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Al Najma to score first✓
60%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Najma / FT Al Najma✓
34%
2.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.50
–
Recent results
Al Najma – last 6
WWDDDD
20 Oct
@ Hajer
4–2
W
12 Oct
vs Damac
3–0
W
19 Sep
@ Al Anwar
1–1
D
14 Sep
vs Al-Raed
1–1
D
7 Sep
@ Al Okhdood
2–2
D
1 Sep
vs Al Jabalain
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Al Zulfi – last 6
DWWDDD
19 Oct
vs Al Ula
1–1
D
13 Oct
@ Al Bukayriyah
2–0
W
19 Sep
vs Al-Raed
4–0
W
13 Sep
@ Al Taee
0–0
D
8 Sep
vs Hajer
0–0
D
1 Sep
@ Al Orubah
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Najma and Al Zulfi.
Our pick is Al Najma or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Al Najma vs Al Zulfi?
On our numbers Al Najma have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Al Zulfi 18%.
How many goals will there be in Al Najma vs Al Zulfi?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Najma vs Al Zulfi?
Our predicted score is Al Najma 1–0 Al Zulfi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Al Najma vs Al Zulfi?
Al Najma vs Al Zulfi (Division 1) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 16:05 (West Africa Time) at King Abdullah Sports City Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
