Rakow II 19%Draw 25%Sparta Katowice 55%Expected goals 1.08 – 1.92
81%
Betarazi pick
Sparta Katowice or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultSparta Katowice to win ✗55% · @1.85
Double chanceSparta Katowice or draw ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.09
Rakow II vs Sparta Katowice: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sparta Katowice travel to face Rakow II on Sunday 13 September in the III Liga Group 3 – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT. In the table, Rakow II are 17th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 16 matches; Sparta Katowice are 2nd (among the top four) with 36. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Rakow II, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Ślęza Wrocław, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Sparta Katowice, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Polonia Nysa, at home. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sparta Katowice, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.8 for Rakow II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rakow II 1.1 xG, Sparta Katowice 1.9 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rakow II 19%, draw 25%, Sparta Katowice 55%.
Lower-risk option: Sparta Katowice or draw (81%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sparta Katowice or draw (81%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rakow II 1–1 Sparta Katowice. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rakow II19%fair 5.17 · @3.40
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.30
Sparta Katowice55%fair 1.80 · @1.85
3.00Expected goals
1.08Rakow II xG
1.92Sparta Katowice xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–210%
0–110%
0–29%
1–36%
0–36%
From our goals model: Rakow II 1.1 – 1.9 Sparta Katowice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sparta Katowice to win✗
55%
1.80
1.85
Double chance
Sparta Katowice or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.67
Draw no bet
Sparta Katowice (draw no bet)
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Rakow II +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Sparta Katowice to score first✗
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Sparta Katowice ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sparta Katowice / FT Sparta Katowice✗
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.09
–
Recent results
Rakow II – last 6
WDLLDL
5 Sep
@ Ślęza Wrocław
2–1
W
29 Aug
vs Goczałkowice Zdrój
0–0
D
23 Aug
@ Stal Brzeg
0–3
L
19 Aug
vs Stilon Gorzów
1–4
L
16 Aug
@ Zagłębie Lubin II
2–2
D
8 Aug
vs Odra Bytom Odrzański
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Sparta Katowice – last 6
WWWWDW
5 Sep
vs Polonia Nysa
4–0
W
29 Aug
vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1–0
W
22 Aug
vs Ślęza Wrocław
3–0
W
19 Aug
vs Goczałkowice Zdrój
2–1
W
14 Aug
@ Stal Brzeg
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Stilon Gorzów
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rakow II and Sparta Katowice.
What is the prediction for Rakow II vs Sparta Katowice?
Our pick is Sparta Katowice or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Rakow II vs Sparta Katowice?
On our numbers Rakow II have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sparta Katowice 55%.
How many goals will there be in Rakow II vs Sparta Katowice?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rakow II vs Sparta Katowice?
Our predicted score is Rakow II 1–1 Sparta Katowice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Rakow II vs Sparta Katowice?
Rakow II vs Sparta Katowice (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
