Value bet: Real Avilés to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRacing Ferrol to win ✗41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.46
Racing Ferrol vs Real Avilés: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 13 August the Friendlies Clubs brings Racing Ferrol against Real Avilés. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT.
Current form
Racing Ferrol, last 5: DDDWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Real Madrid II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Real Avilés, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Racing Santander II, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Racing Ferrol 1.2 xG, Real Avilés 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Racing Ferrol 41%, draw 21%, Real Avilés 37%.
Price worth noting: Real Avilés to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.81, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Racing Ferrol 1–1 Real Avilés. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Racing Ferrol41%fair 2.44 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.30
Real Avilés37%fair 2.67 · @2.90
2.31Expected goals
1.19Racing Ferrol xG
1.12Real Avilés xG
45%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Racing Ferrol 1.2 – 1.1 Real Avilés expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Racing Ferrol to win✗
41%
2.44
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
–
Draw no bet
Racing Ferrol (draw no bet)
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Real Avilés +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Racing Ferrol to score first
46%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Racing Ferrol / FT Racing Ferrol✗
21%
4.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.46
–
Recent results
Racing Ferrol – last 6
DDDWLL
8 Aug
vs Real Madrid II
2–2
D
17 May
vs Osasuna II
0–0
D
8 May
@ Arenas Getxo
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Athletic Club II
1–0
W
3 Apr
@ Guadalajara
0–1
L
20 Feb
vs Celta de Vigo II
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Real Avilés – last 6
LDDLWL
8 Aug
@ Racing Santander II
1–2
L
5 Aug
@ Cultural Leonesa
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Ponferradina
1–1
D
29 Jul
@ Marino de Luanco
0–1
L
5 Apr
vs Ourense CF
2–1
W
8 Mar
vs Zamora
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Racing Ferrol and Real Avilés.
What is the prediction for Racing Ferrol vs Real Avilés?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Racing Ferrol vs Real Avilés?
On our numbers Racing Ferrol have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Real Avilés 37%.
How many goals will there be in Racing Ferrol vs Real Avilés?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Racing Ferrol vs Real Avilés?
Our predicted score is Racing Ferrol 1–1 Real Avilés, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Racing Ferrol vs Real Avilés?
Racing Ferrol vs Real Avilés (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Thursday 13 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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