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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Mgarr United v Tarxien Rainbows: numbers & prediction

1–3
FT
Mgarr United 32%Draw 21%Tarxien Rainbows 48% Expected goals 1.39 – 1.76
61%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultTarxien Rainbows to win ✓48% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.83

Mgarr United vs Tarxien Rainbows: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:30 WAT, Sunday 13 September: Mgarr United v Tarxien Rainbows in the Challenge League. In the table, Mgarr United are 7th, upper half, on 10 points after 7 matches; Tarxien Rainbows are 1st (leading the league) with 19.

Current form

Mgarr United, last 3: DDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Santa Lucía, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.

Tarxien Rainbows, last 5: DDWDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Zabbar St. Patrick, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mgarr United 1.4 xG, Tarxien Rainbows 1.8 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Mgarr United 32%, draw 21%, Tarxien Rainbows 48%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (61%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mgarr United 1–2 Tarxien Rainbows. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mgarr United32%fair 3.17 · @2.70
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.50
Tarxien Rainbows48%fair 2.10 · @2.20
3.15Expected goals
1.39Mgarr United xG
1.76Tarxien Rainbows xG
56%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
2–26%

From our goals model: Mgarr United 1.4 – 1.8 Tarxien Rainbows expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTarxien Rainbows to win ✓48%2.102.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.80–
Draw no betTarxien Rainbows (draw no bet) ✓60%1.66–
Asian handicapMgarr United +1 (Asian handicap) ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.641.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗61%1.63–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
First team to scoreTarxien Rainbows to score first ✓54%1.87–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗38%2.61–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tarxien Rainbows / FT Tarxien Rainbows ✓28%3.54–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.83–

Recent results

Mgarr United – last 3

DDW
6 Aprvs Santa Lucía1–1D
15 Marvs Vittoriosa Stars1–1D
21 Febvs Mtarfa5–0W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Tarxien Rainbows – last 6

DDWDDW
10 May@ Zabbar St. Patrick0–0D
5 May@ Zabbar St. Patrick1–1D
30 Aprvs Sliema Wanderers2–1W
24 Aprvs Birkirkara0–0D
19 Aprvs Zabbar St. Patrick3–3D
14 Aprvs Hibernians3–2W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Mgarr United and Tarxien Rainbows.

Mgarr United vs Tarxien Rainbows head-to-head page →

Challenge League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tarxien Rainbows7610+919
2Swieqi United7511+516
3Naxxar Lions7511+516
4Fgura United7430+915
5Melita7412+513
6Pietà Hotspurs7403+212
7Mgarr United7313+110
8Zurrieq7313010
9Sirens7214-47
10Zebbug Rangers7214-67
11St. Andrews7214-77
12Attard7133-16
13Santa Lucía7061-26
14Vittoriosa Stars7133-36
15Victoria Hotspurs7205-36
16Gudja United7007-100

More Challenge League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mgarr United vs Tarxien Rainbows?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Mgarr United vs Tarxien Rainbows?

On our numbers Mgarr United have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tarxien Rainbows 48%.

How many goals will there be in Mgarr United vs Tarxien Rainbows?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mgarr United vs Tarxien Rainbows?

Our predicted score is Mgarr United 1–2 Tarxien Rainbows, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Mgarr United vs Tarxien Rainbows?

Mgarr United vs Tarxien Rainbows (Challenge League) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.