Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultNaxxar Lions to win ✗59% · @1.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗6% · fair 16.38
Pietà Hotspurs vs Naxxar Lions: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 12 September the Challenge League brings Pietà Hotspurs against Naxxar Lions. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Pietà Hotspurs are 6th, upper half, on 12 points after 7 matches; Naxxar Lions are 3rd (among the top four) with 16.
Current form
Pietà Hotspurs, last 4: WWLL Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Sirens, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Naxxar Lions, last 5: LDDDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Mosta, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Pietà Hotspurs, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Naxxar Lions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pietà Hotspurs 1.0 xG, Naxxar Lions 1.9 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 49% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pietà Hotspurs 21%, draw 20%, Naxxar Lions 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Naxxar Lions to win (59%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pietà Hotspurs 1–2 Naxxar Lions. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pietà Hotspurs21%fair 4.74 · @3.60
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @4.00
Naxxar Lions59%fair 1.70 · @1.70
2.98Expected goals
1.05Pietà Hotspurs xG
1.93Naxxar Lions xG
49%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–210%
0–110%
0–29%
1–36%
0–36%
From our goals model: Pietà Hotspurs 1.0 – 1.9 Naxxar Lions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Naxxar Lions to win✗
59%
1.70
1.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
–
Draw no bet
Naxxar Lions (draw no bet)✗
74%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Pietà Hotspurs +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
Naxxar Lions to score first
62%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Naxxar Lions ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Naxxar Lions / FT Naxxar Lions✗
36%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✗
6%
16.38
–
Recent results
Pietà Hotspurs – last 4
WWLL
12 Apr
@ Sirens
4–3
W
8 Mar
vs Melita
1–0
W
25 Feb
@ Birkirkara
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Swieqi United
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Naxxar Lions – last 6
LDDDDD
10 May
vs Mosta
0–1
L
15 Apr
vs Valletta FC
1–1
D
4 Apr
@ Gzira United
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Marsaxlokk
1–1
D
4 Mar
@ Zurrieq
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Birkirkara
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pietà Hotspurs and Naxxar Lions.
What is the prediction for Pietà Hotspurs vs Naxxar Lions?
Our pick is Naxxar Lions to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Pietà Hotspurs vs Naxxar Lions?
On our numbers Pietà Hotspurs have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Naxxar Lions 59%.
How many goals will there be in Pietà Hotspurs vs Naxxar Lions?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pietà Hotspurs vs Naxxar Lions?
Our predicted score is Pietà Hotspurs 1–2 Naxxar Lions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Pietà Hotspurs vs Naxxar Lions?
Pietà Hotspurs vs Naxxar Lions (Challenge League) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
