Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Florgrade to win @ 2.75 – our chance 44% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFlorgrade to win ✗44% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.88
União Lamas vs Florgrade: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Sunday 16 August: União Lamas v Florgrade in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B. In the table, União Lamas are 8th, lower half, on 9 points after 8 matches; Florgrade are 7th (upper half) with 11. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
União Lamas, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Feirense, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Florgrade, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Salgueiros, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended União Lamas 0–1 Florgrade.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give União Lamas 1.0 xG, Florgrade 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – União Lamas 34%, draw 22%, Florgrade 44%.
Price worth noting: Florgrade to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: União Lamas 1–1 Florgrade. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
União Lamas34%fair 2.95 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.25
Florgrade44%fair 2.25 · @2.75
2.29Expected goals
1.04União Lamas xG
1.25Florgrade xG
47%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: União Lamas 1.0 – 1.2 Florgrade expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for União Lamas vs Florgrade?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win União Lamas vs Florgrade?
On our numbers União Lamas have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Florgrade 44%.
How many goals will there be in União Lamas vs Florgrade?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for União Lamas vs Florgrade?
Our predicted score is União Lamas 1–1 Florgrade, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is União Lamas vs Florgrade?
União Lamas vs Florgrade (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
