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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Salgueiros v Machico: numbers & prediction

1–1
FT

Machico

DWDDW
Salgueiros 46%Draw 25%Machico 30% Expected goals 0.89 – 0.61
51%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.97 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.73Odds

Picks by market

ResultSalgueiros to win ✗46% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.05

Salgueiros vs Machico: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

11:00 WAT, Friday 4 September: Salgueiros v Machico in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B. In the table, Salgueiros are 6th, upper half, on 11 points after 8 matches; Machico are 2nd (among the top four) with 16.

Current form

Salgueiros, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Sousense, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Machico, last 5: DWDDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Camacha, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Salgueiros 0.9 xG, Machico 0.6 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 81%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Salgueiros 46%, draw 25%, Machico 30%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (51%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Salgueiros 0–0 Machico. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Salgueiros46%fair 2.19 · @2.25
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @2.80
Machico30%fair 3.37 · @3.00
1.50Expected goals
0.89Salgueiros xG
0.61Machico xG
49%Both score
19%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–022%
1–020%
0–114%
1–112%
2–09%
2–15%

From our goals model: Salgueiros 0.9 – 0.6 Machico expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSalgueiros to win ✗46%2.192.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75%1.331.36
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.971.73
Draw no betSalgueiros (draw no bet)61%1.65–
Asian handicapMachico +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗56%1.79–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓98%1.02–
First team to scoreSalgueiros to score first ✗46%2.18–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗57%1.75–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗29%3.43–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20%5.05–

Recent results

Salgueiros – last 6

WDDWLD
30 Augvs Sousense2–1W
23 Augvs Sanjoanense1–1D
16 Aug@ Camacha1–1D
22 Marvs Florgrade2–0W
15 Mar@ Leça1–3L
8 Marvs Vila Real1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Machico – last 6

DWDDWL
30 Augvs Camacha2–2D
23 Aug@ Beira-Mar2–0W
15 Augvs Estrela Calheta0–0D
25 Jul@ Maritimo0–0D
8 Aprvs Vilaverdense1–0W
22 Mar@ Camacha1–2L
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Salgueiros and Machico.

Salgueiros vs Machico head-to-head page →

Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ovarense8710+1322
2Machico8440+816
3Camacha7430+615
4Castro Daire8341+413
5Sanjoanense8332+112
6Salgueiros8251011
7Florgrade8323-211
8União Lamas8233-39
9Beira-Mar8071-27
10Cinfães7133-26
11Estrela Calheta8134-66
12Alpendorada7124-45
13Guarda8116-64
14Sousense7034-73

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Salgueiros vs Machico?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Salgueiros vs Machico?

On our numbers Salgueiros have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Machico 30%.

How many goals will there be in Salgueiros vs Machico?

We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Salgueiros vs Machico?

Our predicted score is Salgueiros 0–0 Machico, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.

When is Salgueiros vs Machico?

Salgueiros vs Machico (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.