Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultAtlético Malveira to win ✗40% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓61% · fair 1.64
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗65% · @1.57
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.77
Fátima vs Atlético Malveira: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atlético Malveira travel to face Fátima on Sunday 23 August in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Fátima are 7th, upper half, on 11 points after 8 matches; Atlético Malveira are 5th (upper half) with 12. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Fátima, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with O Elvas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Atlético Malveira, last 5: LDDDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Os Marialvas, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fátima 0.9 xG, Atlético Malveira 1.0 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fátima 36%, draw 23%, Atlético Malveira 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.53, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fátima 0–0 Atlético Malveira. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fátima36%fair 2.74 · @2.80
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.00
Atlético Malveira40%fair 2.49 · @2.38
1.89Expected goals
0.91Fátima xG
0.98Atlético Malveira xG
39%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–015%
0–115%
1–014%
1–113%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Fátima 0.9 – 1.0 Atlético Malveira expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlético Malveira to win✗
40%
2.49
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
–
Draw no bet
Atlético Malveira (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Fátima +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
96%
1.05
–
First team to score
Atlético Malveira to score first✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.77
–
Recent results
Fátima – last 6
DLLLWD
16 Aug
@ O Elvas
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Oliveira Hospital
0–2
L
22 Mar
@ Os Marialvas
0–2
L
15 Mar
vs Naval 1893
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ Mortágua
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Lajense
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Atlético Malveira – last 6
LDDDWL
16 Aug
vs Os Marialvas
0–1
L
31 May
@ Oliveira Hospital
1–1
D
17 May
@ Louletano
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Lagoa
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
4–1
W
8 Mar
@ Moncarapachense
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fátima and Atlético Malveira.
What is the prediction for Fátima vs Atlético Malveira?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Fátima vs Atlético Malveira?
On our numbers Fátima have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Atlético Malveira 40%.
How many goals will there be in Fátima vs Atlético Malveira?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fátima vs Atlético Malveira?
Our predicted score is Fátima 0–0 Atlético Malveira, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Fátima vs Atlético Malveira?
Fátima vs Atlético Malveira (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
