O Elvas 48%Draw 23%Sertanense 29%Expected goals 1.35 – 0.96
60%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultO Elvas to win ✓48% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.46
O Elvas vs Sertanense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 27 September: O Elvas v Sertanense in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C, played at Campo Domingos Carrilho Patalino. In the table, O Elvas are 3rd, among the top four, on 16 points after 8 matches; Sertanense are 13th (in the drop zone) with 5.
Current form
O Elvas, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to União de Leiria, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Sertanense, last 4: DLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Atlético Malveira, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours O Elvas, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Sertanense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give O Elvas 1.3 xG, Sertanense 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 45%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – O Elvas 48%, draw 23%, Sertanense 29%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: O Elvas 1–0 Sertanense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
O Elvas48%fair 2.08 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.10
Sertanense29%fair 3.45 · @3.10
2.31Expected goals
1.35O Elvas xG
0.96Sertanense xG
45%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: O Elvas 1.3 – 1.0 Sertanense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
O Elvas to win✓
48%
2.08
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
–
Draw no bet
O Elvas (draw no bet)✓
62%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
Sertanense +1 (Asian handicap)✗
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
O Elvas to score first✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT O Elvas / FT O Elvas✓
27%
3.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.46
–
Recent results
O Elvas – last 6
LWWWDL
19 Sep
vs União de Leiria
0–2
L
13 Sep
@ Fazendense
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs São Roque (Açores)
9–0
W
23 Aug
@ Nazarenos
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs Fátima
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Alcochetense
0–2
L
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sertanense – last 4
DLLD
13 Sep
vs Atlético Malveira
1–1
D
30 Aug
@ Alcains
0–1
L
23 Aug
vs Mortágua
1–3
L
16 Aug
@ AD Nogueirense
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between O Elvas and Sertanense.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win O Elvas vs Sertanense?
On our numbers O Elvas have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sertanense 29%.
How many goals will there be in O Elvas vs Sertanense?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for O Elvas vs Sertanense?
Our predicted score is O Elvas 1–0 Sertanense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is O Elvas vs Sertanense?
O Elvas vs Sertanense (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Domingos Carrilho Patalino.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
