Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAmora to win ✓69% · @1.44
Double chanceAmora or draw ✓89% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9% · fair 11.19
Amora vs Lajense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 27 September the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group D brings Amora against Lajense at Medideira Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT.
Current form
Amora, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to UD da Serra, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Lajense, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Fafe, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Amora 2.3 xG, Lajense 0.8 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 53% and GG at 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Amora 69%, draw 19%, Lajense 11%.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Amora to win (69%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Amora 2–0 Lajense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Amora69%fair 1.44 · @1.44
Draw19%fair 5.14 · @3.80
Lajense11%fair 8.95 · @6.50
3.06Expected goals
2.25Amora xG
0.81Lajense xG
45%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Amora 2.3 – 0.8 Lajense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Amora to win✓
69%
1.44
1.44
Double chance
Amora or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
–
Draw no bet
Amora (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
Amora -1 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
2.05 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
First team to score
Amora to score first✓
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Amora ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Amora / FT Amora✓
46%
2.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
9%
11.19
–
Recent results
Amora – last 6
LDLWDW
20 Sep
vs UD da Serra
3–4
L
13 Sep
@ 1º Dezembro
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Real
0–1
L
23 Aug
@ Vitoria Setubal
3–1
W
1 May
@ SC Covilha
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ 1º Dezembro
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Lajense – last 6
LDLLWD
20 Sep
@ Fafe
0–4
L
13 Sep
@ Real
5–5
D
6 Sep
vs Vitoria Setubal
0–1
L
4 Apr
@ Naval 1893
1–2
L
22 Mar
vs Lusitânia
3–1
W
15 Mar
@ Mortágua
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Amora and Lajense.
Our pick is Amora to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Amora vs Lajense?
On our numbers Amora have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Lajense 11%.
How many goals will there be in Amora vs Lajense?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Amora vs Lajense?
Our predicted score is Amora 2–0 Lajense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Amora vs Lajense?
Amora vs Lajense (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group D) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Medideira Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
