Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.51
Real vs FC Serpa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 26 September the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group D brings Real against FC Serpa. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT.
Current form
Real, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Cruz A., away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
FC Serpa, last 5: DDDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Louletano, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real 1.6 xG, FC Serpa 1.7 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 54% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real 37%, draw 20%, FC Serpa 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.74, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real 1–2 FC Serpa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real37%fair 2.72 · @2.38
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @3.60
FC Serpa43%fair 2.31 · @2.38
3.26Expected goals
1.55Real xG
1.71FC Serpa xG
54%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Real 1.6 – 1.7 FC Serpa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Serpa to win✗
43%
2.31
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
–
Draw no bet
FC Serpa (draw no bet)
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
Real +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
1.85 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
FC Serpa to score first
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.65
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Serpa / FT FC Serpa✗
25%
3.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.51
–
Recent results
Real – last 6
WLDWWD
20 Sep
@ Cruz A.
3–0
W
18 Sep
vs Academica
1–4
L
13 Sep
vs Lajense
5–5
D
12 Sep
vs FBC Riograndense RS
3–0
W
6 Sep
@ Amora
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Futebol Com Vida
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
FC Serpa – last 6
DDDWWL
20 Sep
vs Louletano
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Lagoa
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs 1º Dezembro
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs O Grandolense
2–0
W
16 Aug
vs Vitoria Setubal
4–2
W
22 Mar
vs Juventude Évora
0–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real and FC Serpa.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Real vs FC Serpa?
On our numbers Real have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FC Serpa 43%.
How many goals will there be in Real vs FC Serpa?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real vs FC Serpa?
Our predicted score is Real 1–2 FC Serpa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Real vs FC Serpa?
Real vs FC Serpa (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group D) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
