Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.20 – our chance 52% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +65%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✗52% · @3.20
Double chanceLajense or draw ✗82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.78
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗58% · @2.10
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–2 ✗7% · fair 13.95
Lajense vs Vitoria Setubal: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Vitoria Setubal travel to face Lajense on Sunday 6 September in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group D – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT.
Current form
Lajense, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Naval 1893, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lajense 2.0 xG, Vitoria Setubal 1.7 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 56% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lajense 30%, draw 52%, Vitoria Setubal 18%.
Lower-risk option: Lajense or draw (82%) at 1.25.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Lajense or draw (82%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.22, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lajense 2–1 Vitoria Setubal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lajense30%fair 3.33 · @2.00
Draw52%fair 1.94 · @3.20
Vitoria Setubal18%fair 5.47 · @3.30
3.73Expected goals
2.01Lajense xG
1.72Vitoria Setubal xG
56%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
1–18%
2–27%
1–27%
3–16%
2–05%
From our goals model: Lajense 2.0 – 1.7 Vitoria Setubal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
52%
1.94
3.20 ▲
Double chance
Lajense or draw✗
82%
1.22
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
–
Draw no bet
Lajense (draw no bet)✗
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
Vitoria Setubal +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
2.10 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
First team to score
Lajense to score first✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Lajense ahead at half-time✗
36%
2.75
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lajense / FT Lajense✗
28%
3.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–2✗
7%
13.95
–
Recent results
Lajense – last 6
LWDLDL
4 Apr
@ Naval 1893
1–2
L
22 Mar
vs Lusitânia
3–1
W
15 Mar
@ Mortágua
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs UD da Serra
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Fátima
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Benfica Castelo Branco
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Vitoria Setubal – last 2
LL
23 Aug
vs Amora
1–3
L
16 Aug
@ FC Serpa
2–4
L
1.5Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lajense and Vitoria Setubal.
What is the prediction for Lajense vs Vitoria Setubal?
Our pick is Lajense or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Lajense vs Vitoria Setubal?
On our numbers Lajense have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 52% and Vitoria Setubal 18%.
How many goals will there be in Lajense vs Vitoria Setubal?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lajense vs Vitoria Setubal?
Our predicted score is Lajense 2–1 Vitoria Setubal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Lajense vs Vitoria Setubal?
Lajense vs Vitoria Setubal (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group D) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Amora0
Real1