Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultLagoa to win ✗54% · @1.95
Double chanceLagoa or draw ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.86
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.20
Lagoa vs FC Serpa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 13 September the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group D brings Lagoa against FC Serpa. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT.
Current form
Lagoa, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Santa Clara B, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
FC Serpa, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with 1º Dezembro, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lagoa 1.7 xG, FC Serpa 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lagoa 54%, draw 26%, FC Serpa 20%.
Lower-risk option: Lagoa or draw (80%) at 1.25.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Lagoa or draw (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lagoa 1–0 FC Serpa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lagoa54%fair 1.84 · @1.95
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.25
FC Serpa20%fair 5.11 · @3.40
2.63Expected goals
1.70Lagoa xG
0.94FC Serpa xG
46%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Lagoa 1.7 – 0.9 FC Serpa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lagoa to win✗
54%
1.84
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Lagoa or draw✓
80%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
–
Draw no bet
Lagoa (draw no bet)
73%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
FC Serpa +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Lagoa to score first✗
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lagoa / FT Lagoa✗
34%
2.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.20
–
Recent results
Lagoa – last 6
WLDDLW
6 Sep
@ Santa Clara B
2–1
W
23 Aug
@ Imortal Albufeira
0–1
L
16 Aug
@ Aljustrelense
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs Atlético Malveira
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ FC Alverca II
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FC Serpa – last 6
DWWLLW
6 Sep
vs 1º Dezembro
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs O Grandolense
2–0
W
16 Aug
vs Vitoria Setubal
4–2
W
22 Mar
vs Juventude Évora
0–3
L
15 Mar
@ Louletano
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs Sintrense
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lagoa and FC Serpa.
Our pick is Lagoa or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Lagoa vs FC Serpa?
On our numbers Lagoa have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 26% and FC Serpa 20%.
How many goals will there be in Lagoa vs FC Serpa?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lagoa vs FC Serpa?
Our predicted score is Lagoa 1–0 FC Serpa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Lagoa vs FC Serpa?
Lagoa vs FC Serpa (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group D) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Real5
Lajense5
1º Dezembro1
Amora1