Aljustrelense vs FC Serpa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 8 November the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group D brings Aljustrelense against FC Serpa. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT.
Current form
Aljustrelense, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Santa Clara B, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
FC Serpa, last 5: DLWDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Portel, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours FC Serpa, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.3 for Aljustrelense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aljustrelense 1.1 xG, FC Serpa 1.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aljustrelense 28%, draw 23%, FC Serpa 50%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.82.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aljustrelense 1–1 FC Serpa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aljustrelense28%fair 3.60 · @3.24
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.16
FC Serpa50%fair 2.01 · @2.01
2.59Expected goals
1.06Aljustrelense xG
1.53FC Serpa xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Aljustrelense 1.1 – 1.5 FC Serpa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Serpa to win✓
50%
2.01
2.01
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.82
Draw no bet
FC Serpa (draw no bet)✓
64%
1.56
–
Asian handicap
Aljustrelense +1 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.31
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.66
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
FC Serpa to score first✓
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Serpa / FT FC Serpa✓
29%
3.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.75
–
Recent results
Aljustrelense – last 6
LDLLLD
1 Nov
@ Santa Clara B
0–3
L
25 Oct
vs Imortal Albufeira
1–1
D
11 Oct
@ Juventude Évora
0–3
L
27 Sep
vs Alcochetense
0–2
L
20 Sep
@ Os Limianos
0–3
L
13 Sep
@ Portel
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FC Serpa – last 6
DLWDDD
1 Nov
vs Portel
2–2
D
25 Oct
@ Alcochetense
1–3
L
11 Oct
vs Sintrense
2–0
W
26 Sep
@ Real
1–1
D
20 Sep
vs Louletano
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Lagoa
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aljustrelense and FC Serpa.
What is the prediction for Aljustrelense vs FC Serpa?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Aljustrelense vs FC Serpa?
On our numbers Aljustrelense have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FC Serpa 50%.
How many goals will there be in Aljustrelense vs FC Serpa?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aljustrelense vs FC Serpa?
Our predicted score is Aljustrelense 1–1 FC Serpa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Aljustrelense vs FC Serpa?
Aljustrelense vs FC Serpa (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group D) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Imortal Albufeira3
Santa Clara B2
Alcochetense3
Lajense0
Lagoa3
Real2
Portel0
Amora0
Sintrense1
Vitoria Setubal1
1º Dezembro2
Juventude Évora1