Value bet: Gimnasia Chivilcoy to win @ 2.55 – our chance 45% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGimnasia Chivilcoy to win ✗45% · @2.55
Double chanceGimnasia Chivilcoy or draw ✓75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 4.91
Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Sportivo Belgrano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:30 WAT, Saturday 1 August: Gimnasia Chivilcoy v Sportivo Belgrano in the Torneo Federal A, played at Jose Maria Paz. In the table, Gimnasia Chivilcoy are 6th, upper half, on 27 points after 18 matches; Sportivo Belgrano are 3rd (among the top four) with 30. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Gimnasia Chivilcoy, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Defensores de Belgrano VR, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Sportivo Belgrano, last 5: DDDDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Atletico Escobar, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (31 May 2026) it ended Sportivo Belgrano 1–0 Gimnasia Chivilcoy. The last 2 head-to-heads: Gimnasia Chivilcoy 0 wins, Sportivo Belgrano 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 0.5 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gimnasia Chivilcoy 1.1 xG, Sportivo Belgrano 0.6 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 73% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gimnasia Chivilcoy 45%, draw 31%, Sportivo Belgrano 25%.
Lower-risk option: Gimnasia Chivilcoy or draw (75%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (56%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Gimnasia Chivilcoy to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gimnasia Chivilcoy 1–0 Sportivo Belgrano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gimnasia Chivilcoy45%fair 2.24 · @2.55
Draw31%fair 3.28 · @2.70
Sportivo Belgrano25%fair 4.02 · @2.88
1.71Expected goals
1.13Gimnasia Chivilcoy xG
0.58Sportivo Belgrano xG
44%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–020%
0–018%
1–112%
2–011%
0–111%
2–17%
From our goals model: Gimnasia Chivilcoy 1.1 – 0.6 Sportivo Belgrano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
Sportivo Belgrano
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average
-2%
-24%
Goals conceded vs average
-22%
+4%
Our expected goals here
1.22
0.42
Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Sportivo Belgrano?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Sportivo Belgrano?
On our numbers Gimnasia Chivilcoy have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Sportivo Belgrano 25%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Sportivo Belgrano?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Sportivo Belgrano?
Our predicted score is Gimnasia Chivilcoy 1–0 Sportivo Belgrano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Sportivo Belgrano?
Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Sportivo Belgrano (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Jose Maria Paz.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
