9 de Julio Rafaela 44%Draw 25%Gimnasia Chivilcoy 31%Expected goals 1.26 – 1.01
79%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Gimnasia Chivilcoy to win @ 3.70 – our chance 31% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
Result9 de Julio Rafaela to win ✓44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.06
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gimnasia Chivilcoy travel to face 9 de Julio Rafaela on Thursday 13 August in the Torneo Federal A, with El Coloso the venue – the ball rolls at 00:45 WAT. In the table, 9 de Julio Rafaela are 14th, upper half, on 25 points after 18 matches; Gimnasia Chivilcoy are 6th (upper half) with 27. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
9 de Julio Rafaela, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sportivo Belgrano, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Gimnasia Chivilcoy, last 5: DDDWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Sportivo Belgrano, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Gimnasia Chivilcoy, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for 9 de Julio Rafaela.
Head to head
When they last met (28 Jun 2026) it ended 9 de Julio Rafaela 2–1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give 9 de Julio Rafaela 1.3 xG, Gimnasia Chivilcoy 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – 9 de Julio Rafaela 44%, draw 25%, Gimnasia Chivilcoy 31%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Gimnasia Chivilcoy to win @3.70 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: 9 de Julio Rafaela 1–1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
9 de Julio Rafaela44%fair 2.27 · @2.05
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @2.88
Gimnasia Chivilcoy31%fair 3.19 · @3.70
2.27Expected goals
1.269 de Julio Rafaela xG
1.01Gimnasia Chivilcoy xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: 9 de Julio Rafaela 1.3 – 1.0 Gimnasia Chivilcoy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy?
On our numbers 9 de Julio Rafaela have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Gimnasia Chivilcoy 31%.
How many goals will there be in 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy?
Our predicted score is 9 de Julio Rafaela 1–1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy?
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Thursday 13 August 2026 at 00:45 (West Africa Time) at El Coloso.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
