Double chanceSan Martin Formosa or draw ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.83
San Martin Formosa vs Sportivo Belgrano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 12 August the Torneo Federal A brings San Martin Formosa against Sportivo Belgrano at 17 De Octubre. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, San Martin Formosa are 4th, among the top four, on 30 points after 16 matches; Sportivo Belgrano are 3rd (among the top four) with 30. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
San Martin Formosa, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Douglas Haig, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Sportivo Belgrano, last 5: DDDDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with 9 de Julio Rafaela, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours San Martin Formosa, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Sportivo Belgrano.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Martin Formosa 1.5 xG, Sportivo Belgrano 0.7 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Martin Formosa 50%, draw 26%, Sportivo Belgrano 23%.
Lower-risk option: San Martin Formosa or draw (77%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was San Martin Formosa or draw (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Martin Formosa 1–0 Sportivo Belgrano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Martin Formosa50%fair 1.98 · @2.00
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.00
Sportivo Belgrano23%fair 4.33 · @3.50
2.13Expected goals
1.45San Martin Formosa xG
0.68Sportivo Belgrano xG
47%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–012%
0–012%
1–112%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: San Martin Formosa 1.5 – 0.7 Sportivo Belgrano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
San Martin Formosa
Sportivo Belgrano
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average
+23%
-24%
Goals conceded vs average
-9%
+4%
Our expected goals here
1.54
0.49
Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Martin Formosa to win✓
50%
1.98
2.00
Double chance
San Martin Formosa or draw✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.57
Draw no bet
San Martin Formosa (draw no bet)✓
69%
1.46
–
Asian handicap
Sportivo Belgrano +1 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.14
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
1.04
First team to score
San Martin Formosa to score first✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Martin Formosa / FT San Martin Formosa✓
33%
3.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.83
–
Recent results
San Martin Formosa – last 6
WWWLDL
8 Aug
@ Douglas Haig
4–1
W
2 Aug
vs Sol de América
2–1
W
26 Jul
vs Bartolomé Mitre
1–0
W
12 Jul
@ Sarmiento de La Banda
0–2
L
5 Jul
vs Juventud Antoniana
0–0
D
28 Jun
@ Sol de América
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sportivo Belgrano – last 6
DDDDDD
8 Aug
vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Gimnasia Chivilcoy
0–0
D
25 Jul
vs Atletico Escobar
2–2
D
12 Jul
@ Sportivo Las Parejas
0–0
D
5 Jul
vs Independiente De Chivilcoy
1–1
D
28 Jun
@ El Linqueño
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Martin Formosa and Sportivo Belgrano.
What is the prediction for San Martin Formosa vs Sportivo Belgrano?
Our pick is San Martin Formosa or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win San Martin Formosa vs Sportivo Belgrano?
On our numbers San Martin Formosa have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sportivo Belgrano 23%.
How many goals will there be in San Martin Formosa vs Sportivo Belgrano?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Martin Formosa vs Sportivo Belgrano?
Our predicted score is San Martin Formosa 1–0 Sportivo Belgrano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is San Martin Formosa vs Sportivo Belgrano?
San Martin Formosa vs Sportivo Belgrano (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Wednesday 12 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at 17 De Octubre.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
