Value bet: Drita to win @ 1.75 – our chance 65% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDrita to win ✓65% · @1.75
Double chanceDrita or draw ✓86% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.72
Drita vs Llapi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:30 WAT, Sunday 16 August: Drita v Llapi in the Superliga. In the table, Drita are 3rd, among the top four, on 24 points after 13 matches; Llapi are 9th (in the drop zone) with 8. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Drita, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Tre Fiori, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Llapi, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Dinamo Ferizaj, away. Away from home the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Llapi, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.5 for Drita.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Apr 2026) it ended Drita 3–0 Llapi. The last 2 head-to-heads: Drita 2 wins, Llapi 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Drita 1.8 xG, Llapi 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Drita 65%, draw 21%, Llapi 14%.
Lower-risk option: Drita or draw (86%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Drita to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 65%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Drita 1–0 Llapi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Drita65%fair 1.55 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.40
Llapi14%fair 7.21 · @4.33
2.53Expected goals
1.83Drita xG
0.70Llapi xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Drita 1.8 – 0.7 Llapi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Drita vs Llapi?
On our numbers Drita have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Llapi 14%.
How many goals will there be in Drita vs Llapi?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Drita vs Llapi?
Our predicted score is Drita 1–0 Llapi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Drita vs Llapi?
Drita vs Llapi (Superliga) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.