Value bet: Malisheva to win @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMalisheva to win ✓59% · @1.80
Double chanceMalisheva or draw ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.56
Vushtrria vs Malisheva: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Malisheva travel to face Vushtrria on Saturday 15 August in the Superliga – the ball rolls at 15:30 WAT. In the table, Vushtrria are 10th, in the drop zone, on 3 points after 13 matches; Malisheva are 2nd (among the top four) with 27. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Vushtrria, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Vëllaznimi, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Malisheva, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Hibernian, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Momentum favours Vushtrria, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Malisheva.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vushtrria 0.8 xG, Malisheva 1.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vushtrria 18%, draw 23%, Malisheva 59%.
Lower-risk option: Malisheva or draw (82%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Malisheva to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vushtrria 0–1 Malisheva. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vushtrria18%fair 5.59 · @4.00
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.35
Malisheva59%fair 1.68 · @1.80
2.49Expected goals
0.79Vushtrria xG
1.70Malisheva xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: Vushtrria 0.8 – 1.7 Malisheva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Malisheva to win✓
59%
1.68
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Malisheva or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.85
Draw no bet
Malisheva (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Vushtrria +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Malisheva to score first✓
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Malisheva / FT Malisheva✓
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.56
–
Recent results
Vushtrria – last 6
WWDWWL
23 May
@ Vëllaznimi
3–1
W
26 Apr
@ Istogu
1–0
W
19 Apr
vs 2 Korriku
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Tefik Canga
3–0
W
8 Mar
@ Liria Prizren
1–0
W
4 Mar
@ Ferizaj
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Malisheva – last 6
LWWLWL
30 Jul
@ Hibernian
1–4
L
23 Jul
vs Hibernian
2–0
W
15 Jul
vs Vllaznia Shkodër
5–0
W
9 Jul
@ Vllaznia Shkodër
1–2
L
31 May
vs Drita
3–2
W
24 May
@ Llapi
2–3
L
2.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vushtrria and Malisheva.
What is the prediction for Vushtrria vs Malisheva?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Vushtrria vs Malisheva?
On our numbers Vushtrria have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Malisheva 59%.
How many goals will there be in Vushtrria vs Malisheva?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vushtrria vs Malisheva?
Our predicted score is Vushtrria 0–1 Malisheva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Vushtrria vs Malisheva?
Vushtrria vs Malisheva (Superliga) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
