Al Mesaimeer 64%Draw 22%Al-Gharafa B 14%Expected goals 1.76 – 0.66
86%
Betarazi pick
Al Mesaimeer or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Al Mesaimeer to win @ 1.73 – our chance 64% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAl Mesaimeer to win ✓64% · @1.73
Double chanceAl Mesaimeer or draw ✓86% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.39
Al Mesaimeer vs Al-Gharafa B: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al Mesaimeer welcome Al-Gharafa B for a Second Division fixture on Wednesday 14 October (17:45 WAT). In the table, Al Mesaimeer are 6th, upper half, on 7 points after 5 matches; Al-Gharafa B are 12th (in the drop zone) with 1.
Current form
Al Mesaimeer, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Al-Gharafa, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Al-Gharafa B, last 3: LLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Muaither SC, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Mesaimeer 1.8 xG, Al-Gharafa B 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 44%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Mesaimeer 64%, draw 22%, Al-Gharafa B 14%.
Lower-risk option: Al Mesaimeer or draw (86%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Al Mesaimeer to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Al Mesaimeer or draw (86%, odds 1.44 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Mesaimeer 1–0 Al-Gharafa B. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Mesaimeer64%fair 1.56 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.80
Al-Gharafa B14%fair 7.13 · @3.80
2.42Expected goals
1.76Al Mesaimeer xG
0.66Al-Gharafa B xG
44%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Al Mesaimeer 1.8 – 0.7 Al-Gharafa B expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Mesaimeer to win✓
64%
1.56
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Al Mesaimeer or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.44 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
–
Draw no bet
Al Mesaimeer (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Al Mesaimeer -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
2.05 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Al Mesaimeer to score first✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Al Mesaimeer ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Mesaimeer / FT Al Mesaimeer✓
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.39
–
Recent results
Al Mesaimeer – last 6
LLDLWL
1 Oct
@ Al-Gharafa
2–4
L
22 Sep
vs Al Waab
0–1
L
8 Sep
vs Al Kharaitiyat
1–1
D
30 Aug
vs UMM Salal
1–2
L
24 Aug
vs Muaither SC
1–0
W
30 Apr
vs Muaither SC
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Al-Gharafa B – last 3
LLD
7 Sep
vs Muaither SC
0–1
L
30 Aug
vs Al-Markhiya
0–3
L
23 Aug
@ Al Bidda SC
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Mesaimeer and Al-Gharafa B.
What is the prediction for Al Mesaimeer vs Al-Gharafa B?
Our pick is Al Mesaimeer or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Al Mesaimeer vs Al-Gharafa B?
On our numbers Al Mesaimeer have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Al-Gharafa B 14%.
How many goals will there be in Al Mesaimeer vs Al-Gharafa B?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Mesaimeer vs Al-Gharafa B?
Our predicted score is Al Mesaimeer 1–0 Al-Gharafa B, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Al Mesaimeer vs Al-Gharafa B?
Al Mesaimeer vs Al-Gharafa B (Second Division) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
