Al-Gharafa B 7%Draw 20%UMM Salal 73%Expected goals 0.68 – 2.37
59%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.71 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.71Odds
Picks by market
ResultUMM Salal to win ✓73% · @1.14
Double chanceUMM Salal or draw ✓93% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.04
Al-Gharafa B vs UMM Salal: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:30 WAT, Wednesday 4 November: Al-Gharafa B v UMM Salal in the Second Division. In the table, Al-Gharafa B are 12th, in the drop zone, on 1 points after 6 matches; UMM Salal are 5th (upper half) with 11.
Current form
Al-Gharafa B, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Al-Khor, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
UMM Salal, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Al Bidda SC, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours UMM Salal, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.2 for Al-Gharafa B.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al-Gharafa B 0.7 xG, UMM Salal 2.4 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al-Gharafa B 7%, draw 20%, UMM Salal 73%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.90.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (59%, odds 1.71). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al-Gharafa B 0–2 UMM Salal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al-Gharafa B7%fair 14.29 · @12.70
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @5.90
UMM Salal73%fair 1.37 · @1.14
3.05Expected goals
0.68Al-Gharafa B xG
2.37UMM Salal xG
52%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–213%
0–111%
0–310%
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
From our goals model: Al-Gharafa B 0.7 – 2.4 UMM Salal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
UMM Salal to win✓
73%
1.37
1.14
Double chance
UMM Salal or draw✓
93%
1.08
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.90
Draw no bet
UMM Salal (draw no bet)✓
91%
1.10
–
Asian handicap
UMM Salal -1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.37
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.71
1.71
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.27
First team to score
UMM Salal to score first
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
UMM Salal ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.84
–
Half-time / full-time
HT UMM Salal / FT UMM Salal✓
51%
1.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.04
–
Recent results
Al-Gharafa B – last 5
LLLLD
28 Oct
@ Al-Khor
0–4
L
14 Oct
@ Al Mesaimeer
0–5
L
7 Sep
vs Muaither SC
0–1
L
30 Aug
vs Al-Markhiya
0–3
L
23 Aug
@ Al Bidda SC
1–1
D
0.2Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
20%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
UMM Salal – last 6
DWWWLW
29 Oct
vs Al Bidda SC
0–0
D
14 Oct
@ Al Waab
1–0
W
29 Sep
@ Al-Khor
2–0
W
21 Sep
vs Al Kharaitiyat
1–0
W
7 Sep
vs Al-Khor
1–5
L
30 Aug
@ Al Mesaimeer
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al-Gharafa B and UMM Salal.
What is the prediction for Al-Gharafa B vs UMM Salal?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.71.
Who will win Al-Gharafa B vs UMM Salal?
On our numbers Al-Gharafa B have a 7% chance of winning, the draw 20% and UMM Salal 73%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Gharafa B vs UMM Salal?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Gharafa B vs UMM Salal?
Our predicted score is Al-Gharafa B 0–2 UMM Salal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Al-Gharafa B vs UMM Salal?
Al-Gharafa B vs UMM Salal (Second Division) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
