Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 9 August the J2 League brings Montedio Yamagata against Tochigi City at ND Soft Stadium Yamagata. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Montedio Yamagata are 14th, lower half, on 19 points after 16 matches; Tochigi City are 18th (in the drop zone) with 12.
Current form
Montedio Yamagata, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Albirex Niigata, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Tochigi City, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cerezo Osaka, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (16 May 2026) it ended Tochigi City 3–0 Montedio Yamagata. The last 2 head-to-heads: Montedio Yamagata 0 wins, Tochigi City 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Montedio Yamagata 1.3 xG, Tochigi City 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Montedio Yamagata 37%, draw 27%, Tochigi City 36%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Montedio Yamagata 1–1 Tochigi City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Montedio Yamagata37%fair 2.68 · @2.42
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.20
Tochigi City36%fair 2.77 · @2.75
2.51Expected goals
1.33Montedio Yamagata xG
1.18Tochigi City xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–19%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Montedio Yamagata 1.3 – 1.2 Tochigi City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Montedio Yamagata
Tochigi City
Attack vs J2 League average
-27%
+1%
Goals conceded vs average
-13%
+37%
Our expected goals here
1.39
1.05
Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi City?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi City?
On our numbers Montedio Yamagata have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Tochigi City 36%.
How many goals will there be in Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi City?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi City?
Our predicted score is Montedio Yamagata 1–1 Tochigi City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi City?
Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi City (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at ND Soft Stadium Yamagata.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
