Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Shonan Bellmare to win @ 1.94 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultShonan Bellmare to win ✓56% · @1.94
Double chanceShonan Bellmare or draw ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.58
Shonan Bellmare vs Montedio Yamagata: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 15 August the J2 League brings Shonan Bellmare against Montedio Yamagata at Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Shonan Bellmare are 10th, upper half, on 23 points after 16 matches; Montedio Yamagata are 14th (lower half) with 19.
Current form
Shonan Bellmare, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Oita Trinita, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Montedio Yamagata, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Tochigi City, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Montedio Yamagata, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Shonan Bellmare.
Head to head
When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended Montedio Yamagata 3–1 Shonan Bellmare. The last 2 head-to-heads: Shonan Bellmare 1 win, Montedio Yamagata 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shonan Bellmare 1.3 xG, Montedio Yamagata 0.7 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shonan Bellmare 56%, draw 23%, Montedio Yamagata 21%.
Lower-risk option: Shonan Bellmare or draw (79%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Shonan Bellmare to win @1.94 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shonan Bellmare 1–0 Montedio Yamagata. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shonan Bellmare56%fair 1.79 · @1.94
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.30
Montedio Yamagata21%fair 4.75 · @3.70
1.98Expected goals
1.33Shonan Bellmare xG
0.65Montedio Yamagata xG
53%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
0–014%
2–012%
1–112%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Shonan Bellmare 1.3 – 0.7 Montedio Yamagata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Shonan Bellmare vs Montedio Yamagata?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Shonan Bellmare vs Montedio Yamagata?
On our numbers Shonan Bellmare have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Montedio Yamagata 21%.
How many goals will there be in Shonan Bellmare vs Montedio Yamagata?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shonan Bellmare vs Montedio Yamagata?
Our predicted score is Shonan Bellmare 1–0 Montedio Yamagata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Shonan Bellmare vs Montedio Yamagata?
Shonan Bellmare vs Montedio Yamagata (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
