Albirex Niigata vs Montedio Yamagata: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Albirex Niigata welcome Montedio Yamagata to Denka Big Swan Stadium for a J2 League fixture on Sunday 13 September (10:00 WAT). In the table, Albirex Niigata are 1st, leading the league, on 32 points after 16 matches; Montedio Yamagata are 14th (lower half) with 19. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Albirex Niigata, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Yokohama FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Montedio Yamagata, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Tochigi SC, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Jul 2026) it ended Albirex Niigata 3–4 Montedio Yamagata.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Albirex Niigata 1.3 xG, Montedio Yamagata 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Albirex Niigata 40%, draw 23%, Montedio Yamagata 37%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Albirex Niigata 1–1 Montedio Yamagata. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Albirex Niigata40%fair 2.51 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.10
Montedio Yamagata37%fair 2.67 · @2.80
2.60Expected goals
1.33Albirex Niigata xG
1.27Montedio Yamagata xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Albirex Niigata 1.3 – 1.3 Montedio Yamagata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata vs Montedio Yamagata?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Albirex Niigata vs Montedio Yamagata?
On our numbers Albirex Niigata have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Montedio Yamagata 37%.
How many goals will there be in Albirex Niigata vs Montedio Yamagata?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Albirex Niigata vs Montedio Yamagata?
Our predicted score is Albirex Niigata 1–1 Montedio Yamagata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Albirex Niigata vs Montedio Yamagata?
Albirex Niigata vs Montedio Yamagata (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Denka Big Swan Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
