Blaublitz Akita v Sagan Tosu Prediction & Expected Goals (4 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSagan Tosu to win ✗40% · @2.25

Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.85

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.05

Blaublitz Akita vs Sagan Tosu: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sagan Tosu travel to face Blaublitz Akita on Sunday 4 October in the J2 League, with Soyu Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 06:00 WAT. In the table, Blaublitz Akita are 12th, lower half, on 20 points after 16 matches; Sagan Tosu are 13th (lower half) with 20. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Blaublitz Akita, last 5: DDWDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Albirex Niigata, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Sagan Tosu, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Tokyo Verdy, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Blaublitz Akita 1.2 xG, Sagan Tosu 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Blaublitz Akita 36%, draw 24%, Sagan Tosu 40%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Blaublitz Akita to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 36%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Blaublitz Akita 1–1 Sagan Tosu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Blaublitz Akita36%fair 2.81 · @3.10

Draw24%fair 4.10 · @2.90

Sagan Tosu40%fair 2.50 · @2.25

2.50Expected goals

1.20Blaublitz Akita xG

1.30Sagan Tosu xG

52%Both score

46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

0–111%

1–010%

1–28%

0–08%

2–18%

From our goals model: Blaublitz Akita 1.2 – 1.3 Sagan Tosu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Sagan Tosu to win ✗	40%	2.50	2.25
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	76%	1.32	1.36
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	52%	1.91	1.85
Draw no bet	Sagan Tosu (draw no bet) ✗	53%	1.89	–
Asian handicap	Blaublitz Akita +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	61%	1.63	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	71%	1.40	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	54%	1.84	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	76%	1.32	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	89%	1.12	–
First team to score	Sagan Tosu to score first ✗	48%	2.10	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	44%	2.27	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Sagan Tosu / FT Sagan Tosu ✗	22%	4.48	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	8%	12.05	–

Blaublitz Akita – last 6

DDWDLL

26 Sep	vs Albirex Niigata	2–2	D
19 Sep	@ Shonan Bellmare	1–1	D
12 Sep	vs Tokushima Vortis	4–1	W
6 Sep	vs Omiya Ardija	0–0	D
2 Sep	@ Ehime FC	0–1	L
29 Aug	@ Vanraure Hachinohe	0–1	L

1.2Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Sagan Tosu – last 6

DLLLLW

29 Sep	vs Tokyo Verdy	1–1	D
26 Sep	@ Montedio Yamagata	0–2	L
23 Sep	@ Vissel Kobe	0–1	L
19 Sep	vs Iwaki	1–3	L
12 Sep	@ Imabari	0–1	L
5 Sep	vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki	2–0	W

0.7Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

33%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Albirex Niigata	16	10	2	4	-1	32
2	Yokohama FC	16	9	4	3	+15	31
3	Kataller Toyama	16	9	4	3	+14	31
4	Vegalta Sendai	16	9	3	4	+13	30
5	Omiya Ardija	16	8	6	2	+12	30
6	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	16	8	5	3	+9	29
7	Consadole Sapporo	16	8	2	6	+3	26
8	Iwaki	16	7	2	7	+4	23
9	Jubilo Iwata	16	6	5	5	+2	23
10	Shonan Bellmare	16	5	8	3	+1	23
11	Oita Trinita	16	5	7	4	+5	22
12	Blaublitz Akita	16	5	5	6	0	20
13	Sagan Tosu	16	6	2	8	-3	20
14	Montedio Yamagata	16	6	1	9	-2	19
15	Tokushima Vortis	16	5	2	9	-5	17
16	Fujieda MYFC	16	3	7	6	-4	16
17	Vanraure Hachinohe	16	4	2	10	-15	14
18	Tochigi City	16	3	3	10	-10	12
19	Imabari	16	3	3	10	-16	12
20	Ventforet Kofu	16	3	3	10	-22	12

Team

Pts

-1

+15

+14

+13

+12

-3

-2

-5

-4

-15

-10

-16

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Blaublitz Akita vs Sagan Tosu?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Blaublitz Akita vs Sagan Tosu?

On our numbers Blaublitz Akita have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sagan Tosu 40%.

How many goals will there be in Blaublitz Akita vs Sagan Tosu?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Blaublitz Akita vs Sagan Tosu?

Our predicted score is Blaublitz Akita 1–1 Sagan Tosu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Blaublitz Akita vs Sagan Tosu?

Blaublitz Akita vs Sagan Tosu (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Soyu Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Blaublitz Akita v Sagan Tosu: numbers & prediction