Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Sagan Tosu to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSagan Tosu to win ✓60% · @1.85
Double chanceSagan Tosu or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.82
Sagan Tosu vs Fujieda MYFC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sagan Tosu welcome Fujieda MYFC to Ekimae Real Estate Stadium for a J2 League fixture on Saturday 10 October (06:00 WAT). In the table, Sagan Tosu are 13th, lower half, on 20 points after 16 matches; Fujieda MYFC are 16th (lower half) with 16.
Current form
Sagan Tosu, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Blaublitz Akita, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Fujieda MYFC, last 5: DLDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Shonan Bellmare, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sagan Tosu 1.6 xG, Fujieda MYFC 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sagan Tosu 60%, draw 22%, Fujieda MYFC 18%.
Lower-risk option: Sagan Tosu or draw (82%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Sagan Tosu to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sagan Tosu or draw (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sagan Tosu 1–0 Fujieda MYFC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sagan Tosu60%fair 1.67 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.25
Fujieda MYFC18%fair 5.62 · @3.80
2.39Expected goals
1.64Sagan Tosu xG
0.75Fujieda MYFC xG
50%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Sagan Tosu 1.6 – 0.7 Fujieda MYFC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sagan Tosu to win✓
60%
1.67
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Sagan Tosu or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.85
Draw no bet
Sagan Tosu (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Fujieda MYFC +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Sagan Tosu to score first✓
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sagan Tosu / FT Sagan Tosu✗
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.82
–
Recent results
Sagan Tosu – last 6
LDLLLL
4 Oct
@ Blaublitz Akita
0–1
L
29 Sep
vs Tokyo Verdy
1–1
D
26 Sep
@ Montedio Yamagata
0–2
L
23 Sep
@ Vissel Kobe
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Iwaki
1–3
L
12 Sep
@ Imabari
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Fujieda MYFC – last 6
DLDLDL
3 Oct
vs Shonan Bellmare
1–1
D
29 Sep
vs Cerezo Osaka
1–2
L
26 Sep
@ Oita Trinita
1–1
D
23 Sep
@ Kyoto Sanga
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Omiya Ardija
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Tegevajaro Miyazaki
2–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sagan Tosu and Fujieda MYFC.
What is the prediction for Sagan Tosu vs Fujieda MYFC?
Our pick is Sagan Tosu or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sagan Tosu vs Fujieda MYFC?
On our numbers Sagan Tosu have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Fujieda MYFC 18%.
How many goals will there be in Sagan Tosu vs Fujieda MYFC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sagan Tosu vs Fujieda MYFC?
Our predicted score is Sagan Tosu 1–0 Fujieda MYFC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sagan Tosu vs Fujieda MYFC?
Sagan Tosu vs Fujieda MYFC (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
