Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.28Odds
1
Value bet: Jubilo Iwata to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultJubilo Iwata to win ✗57% · @1.95
Double chanceJubilo Iwata or draw ✓83% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.81
Jubilo Iwata vs Shonan Bellmare: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 8 November the J2 League brings Jubilo Iwata against Shonan Bellmare at Yamaha Stadium. Kick-off: 06:00 WAT. In the table, Jubilo Iwata are 9th, upper half, on 23 points after 16 matches; Shonan Bellmare are 10th (upper half) with 23. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Jubilo Iwata, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Fujieda MYFC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Shonan Bellmare, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sagan Tosu, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Jubilo Iwata, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Shonan Bellmare.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jubilo Iwata 1.6 xG, Shonan Bellmare 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jubilo Iwata 57%, draw 26%, Shonan Bellmare 17%.
Lower-risk option: Jubilo Iwata or draw (83%) at 1.28.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Jubilo Iwata to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Jubilo Iwata or draw (83%, odds 1.28 – longer than our fair 1.21, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jubilo Iwata 1–0 Shonan Bellmare. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jubilo Iwata57%fair 1.75 · @1.95
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.50
Shonan Bellmare17%fair 5.84 · @3.60
2.39Expected goals
1.62Jubilo Iwata xG
0.77Shonan Bellmare xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Jubilo Iwata 1.6 – 0.8 Shonan Bellmare expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jubilo Iwata to win✗
57%
1.75
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Jubilo Iwata or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.28 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.80
Draw no bet
Jubilo Iwata (draw no bet)
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Shonan Bellmare +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.11
First team to score
Jubilo Iwata to score first✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jubilo Iwata / FT Jubilo Iwata✗
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.81
–
Recent results
Jubilo Iwata – last 6
WWDDDL
3 Nov
@ Fujieda MYFC
2–1
W
31 Oct
vs Sagan Tosu
2–0
W
25 Oct
@ Iwaki
1–1
D
21 Oct
vs Oita Trinita
0–0
D
17 Oct
@ Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1–1
D
14 Oct
vs Kawasaki Frontale
0–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Shonan Bellmare – last 6
LLWDDD
3 Nov
vs Sagan Tosu
0–1
L
31 Oct
@ Consadole Sapporo
0–1
L
25 Oct
vs Tochigi City
2–1
W
21 Oct
vs Iwaki
1–1
D
17 Oct
@ Kataller Toyama
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs Albirex Niigata
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jubilo Iwata and Shonan Bellmare.
What is the prediction for Jubilo Iwata vs Shonan Bellmare?
Our pick is Jubilo Iwata or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Jubilo Iwata vs Shonan Bellmare?
On our numbers Jubilo Iwata have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Shonan Bellmare 17%.
How many goals will there be in Jubilo Iwata vs Shonan Bellmare?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jubilo Iwata vs Shonan Bellmare?
Our predicted score is Jubilo Iwata 1–0 Shonan Bellmare, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Jubilo Iwata vs Shonan Bellmare?
Jubilo Iwata vs Shonan Bellmare (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Yamaha Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
