Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSaburtalo to win ✗53% · @1.65
Double chanceSaburtalo or draw ✓79% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.11
Saburtalo vs Larne: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Saburtalo welcome Larne to Mikheil Meskhi Stadium for a UEFA Europa League fixture on Tuesday 11 August (17:00 WAT).
Current form
Saburtalo, last 5: DDWLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Larne, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Larne, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Saburtalo, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (4 Aug 2026) it ended Larne 0–0 Saburtalo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Saburtalo 1.4 xG, Larne 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Saburtalo 53%, draw 26%, Larne 21%.
Lower-risk option: Saburtalo or draw (79%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Saburtalo 1–1 Larne. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Saburtalo53%fair 1.88 · @1.65
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.60
Larne21%fair 4.73 · @5.40
2.43Expected goals
1.43Saburtalo xG
1.00Larne xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
2–19%
2–09%
0–19%
0–09%
From our goals model: Saburtalo 1.4 – 1.0 Larne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Saburtalo vs Larne?
On our numbers Saburtalo have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Larne 21%.
How many goals will there be in Saburtalo vs Larne?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Saburtalo vs Larne?
Our predicted score is Saburtalo 1–1 Larne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Saburtalo vs Larne?
Saburtalo vs Larne (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Tuesday 11 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Mikheil Meskhi Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
