Shatin 62%Draw 16%Hong Kong FC 22%Expected goals 2.54 – 1.46
66%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Shatin to win @ 1.91 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultShatin to win ✗62% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✗84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.59
Shatin vs Hong Kong FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 18 October the Premier League brings Shatin against Hong Kong FC. Kick-off: 09:00 WAT. In the table, Shatin are 11th, in the drop zone, on 0 points after 0 matches; Hong Kong FC are 10th (in the drop zone) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Shatin, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Hong Kong FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Hong Kong FC, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Kitchee, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Oct 2026) it ended Shatin 2–2 Hong Kong FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shatin 2.5 xG, Hong Kong FC 1.5 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 76% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shatin 62%, draw 16%, Hong Kong FC 22%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Shatin to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shatin 2–1 Hong Kong FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shatin62%fair 1.61 · @1.91
Draw16%fair 6.06 · @3.70
Hong Kong FC22%fair 4.65 · @3.20
4.00Expected goals
2.54Shatin xG
1.46Hong Kong FC xG
66%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–26%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: Shatin 2.5 – 1.5 Hong Kong FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Shatin vs Hong Kong FC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Shatin vs Hong Kong FC?
On our numbers Shatin have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Hong Kong FC 22%.
How many goals will there be in Shatin vs Hong Kong FC?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shatin vs Hong Kong FC?
Our predicted score is Shatin 2–1 Hong Kong FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Shatin vs Hong Kong FC?
Shatin vs Hong Kong FC (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
