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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Warriors v Kitchee: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Hong-Kong · Tseung Kwan O Sports Ground
1–5
FT

Kitchee

DWLDW
Warriors 44%Draw 23%Kitchee 33% Expected goals 1.72 – 1.48
65%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultWarriors to win ✗44% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.21

Warriors vs Kitchee: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

11:30 WAT, Monday 19 October: Warriors v Kitchee in the Premier League, played at Tseung Kwan O Sports Ground. In the table, Warriors are 2nd, among the top four, on 0 points after 0 matches; Kitchee are 1st (leading the league) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Warriors, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over BC Rangers, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Kitchee, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Kuching FA, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Warriors, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.8 for Kitchee.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Apr 2026) it ended Kitchee 1–4 Warriors. The last 2 head-to-heads: Warriors 2 wins, Kitchee 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Warriors 1.7 xG, Kitchee 1.5 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Warriors 44%, draw 23%, Kitchee 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Warriors 1–1 Kitchee. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Warriors44%fair 2.29 · @2.40
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.10
Kitchee33%fair 2.99 · @2.62
3.20Expected goals
1.72Warriors xG
1.48Kitchee xG
65%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%

From our goals model: Warriors 1.7 – 1.5 Kitchee expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWarriors to win ✗44%2.292.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓65%1.531.53
Draw no betWarriors (draw no bet) ✗57%1.77–
Asian handicapKitchee +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗78%1.28–
First team to scoreWarriors to score first52%1.94–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗38%2.62–
Half-time / full-timeHT Warriors / FT Warriors ✗26%3.81–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.21–

Recent results

Warriors – last 6

WWWWWW
11 Oct@ BC Rangers2–0W
19 Sep@ Shatin1–0W
11 Sepvs Eastern District2–1W
6 Sep@ Hong Kong FC3–0W
28 Augvs Shatin3–0W
23 Augvs Kowloon City3–0W
2.3Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Kitchee – last 6

DWLDWW
15 Oct@ Kuching FA1–1D
10 Octvs Hong Kong FC4–0W
26 Sep@ Eastern1–3L
17 Sepvs Gangwon FC0–0D
12 Sep@ Southern District3–1W
6 Sepvs Eastern District4–1W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Apr 2026Kitchee v Warriors1–4
7 Apr 2026Kitchee v Warriors1–2
Warriors vs Kitchee head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kitchee000000
2Warriors000000
3North District000000
4Wofoo Tai Po000000
5Eastern000000
6Kowloon City000000
7Eastern District000000
8Southern District000000
9BC Rangers000000
10Hong Kong FC000000
11Shatin000000

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Warriors vs Kitchee?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Warriors vs Kitchee?

On our numbers Warriors have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Kitchee 33%.

How many goals will there be in Warriors vs Kitchee?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Warriors vs Kitchee?

Our predicted score is Warriors 1–1 Kitchee, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Warriors vs Kitchee?

Warriors vs Kitchee (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Tseung Kwan O Sports Ground.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.