Value bet: US Ben Guerdane to win @ 1.95 – our chance 62% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultUS Ben Guerdane to win ✓62% · @1.95
Double chanceUS Ben Guerdane or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓62% · fair 1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓20% · fair 4.88
US Ben Guerdane vs CS Hammam-Lif: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
US Ben Guerdane welcome CS Hammam-Lif to 7 March Stadium for a Ligue 1 fixture on Sunday 20 September (16:00 WAT). In the table, US Ben Guerdane are 1st, leading the league, on 17 points after 7 matches; CS Hammam-Lif are 14th (in the drop zone) with 5. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
US Ben Guerdane, last 5: DDWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with CS Sfaxien, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
CS Hammam-Lif, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to ES Tunis, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give US Ben Guerdane 1.5 xG, CS Hammam-Lif 0.5 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – US Ben Guerdane 62%, draw 24%, CS Hammam-Lif 14%.
Lower-risk option: US Ben Guerdane or draw (86%) at 1.17.
Price worth noting: US Ben Guerdane to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: US Ben Guerdane 1–0 CS Hammam-Lif. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
US Ben Guerdane62%fair 1.61 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @2.80
CS Hammam-Lif14%fair 7.02 · @4.10
1.96Expected goals
1.45US Ben Guerdane xG
0.51CS Hammam-Lif xG
38%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–020%
2–015%
0–014%
1–110%
2–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: US Ben Guerdane 1.5 – 0.5 CS Hammam-Lif expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
US Ben Guerdane to win✓
62%
1.61
1.95 ▲
Double chance
US Ben Guerdane or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
–
Draw no bet
US Ben Guerdane (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
US Ben Guerdane -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
US Ben Guerdane to score first✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT US Ben Guerdane / FT US Ben Guerdane✗
37%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
20%
4.88
–
Recent results
US Ben Guerdane – last 6
DDWLDW
16 Sep
vs CS Sfaxien
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ US Monastirienne
3–3
D
30 Aug
@ Olympique Béja
2–1
W
14 May
vs ES Tunis
0–1
L
8 May
@ Stade Tunisien
0–0
D
30 Apr
@ JS Kairouanaise
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
CS Hammam-Lif – last 6
LLLWWD
13 Sep
vs ES Tunis
0–1
L
5 Sep
@ Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
0–1
L
30 Aug
vs CA Bizertin
0–1
L
30 May
vs Stade Gabesien
3–0
W
25 May
vs AS Kasserine
1–0
W
11 May
vs ES Hammam-Sousse
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between US Ben Guerdane and CS Hammam-Lif.
What is the prediction for US Ben Guerdane vs CS Hammam-Lif?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win US Ben Guerdane vs CS Hammam-Lif?
On our numbers US Ben Guerdane have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and CS Hammam-Lif 14%.
How many goals will there be in US Ben Guerdane vs CS Hammam-Lif?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for US Ben Guerdane vs CS Hammam-Lif?
Our predicted score is US Ben Guerdane 1–0 CS Hammam-Lif, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is US Ben Guerdane vs CS Hammam-Lif?
US Ben Guerdane vs CS Hammam-Lif (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at 7 March Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
