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ES Hammam-Sousse v US Monastirienne: numbers & prediction

Ligue 1 · Tunisia
ES Hammam-Sousse 28%Draw 25%US Monastirienne 48% Expected goals 0.79 – 1.17
69%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultUS Monastirienne to win ✗48% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.70
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 6.06

ES Hammam-Sousse vs US Monastirienne: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 22 August the Ligue 1 brings ES Hammam-Sousse against US Monastirienne. Kick-off: 16:30 WAT.

Current form

ES Hammam-Sousse, last 5: LDDLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

US Monastirienne, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over AS Soliman, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours US Monastirienne, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for ES Hammam-Sousse.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give ES Hammam-Sousse 0.8 xG, US Monastirienne 1.2 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – ES Hammam-Sousse 28%, draw 25%, US Monastirienne 48%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: ES Hammam-Sousse 0–1 US Monastirienne. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

ES Hammam-Sousse28%fair 3.62 · @3.60
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @2.80
US Monastirienne48%fair 2.10 · @2.05
1.96Expected goals
0.79ES Hammam-Sousse xG
1.17US Monastirienne xG
41%Both score
31%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–117%
0–014%
1–113%
1–011%
0–210%
1–28%

From our goals model: ES Hammam-Sousse 0.8 – 1.2 US Monastirienne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUS Monastirienne to win ✗48%2.102.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75%1.331.36
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓59%1.70–
Draw no betUS Monastirienne (draw no bet)63%1.58–
Asian handicapES Hammam-Sousse +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗58%1.72–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69%1.451.36
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.05–
First team to scoreUS Monastirienne to score first ✗51%1.95–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓50%1.99–
Half-time / full-timeHT US Monastirienne / FT US Monastirienne ✗26%3.92–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17%6.06–

Recent results

ES Hammam-Sousse – last 6

LDDLDW
29 Mayvs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer2–3L
11 May@ CS Hammam-Lif1–1D
1 Mayvs Sfax Railways2–2D
27 Apr@ Kerkennah1–2L
22 Apr@ M'saken0–0D
13 Aprvs Menzel Bourguiba3–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

US Monastirienne – last 6

WLWWDW
14 Mayvs AS Soliman3–0W
4 Mayvs ES Metlaoui0–1L
29 Aprvs AS Gabes2–0W
22 Marvs Club Africain1–0W
28 Feb@ CA Bizertin0–0D
15 Febvs ES Zarzis3–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between ES Hammam-Sousse and US Monastirienne.

ES Hammam-Sousse vs US Monastirienne head-to-head page →

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1US Ben Guerdane7520+617
2ES Tunis7511+416
3Stade Tunisien7412+313
4Club Africain7412+213
5Monastir7331+212
6Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer7331+312
7CA Bizertin7322+111
8CS Sfaxien7241+210
9Jeunesse Sportive Omrane7241+110
10ES Sahel622208
11AS Marsa6132+16
12ES Metlaoui7205-56
13ES Zarzis7205-26
14CS Hammam-Lif7124-35
15Olympique Béja7034-53
16ES Hammam-Sousse7016-101

More Ligue 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for ES Hammam-Sousse vs US Monastirienne?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win ES Hammam-Sousse vs US Monastirienne?

On our numbers ES Hammam-Sousse have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 25% and US Monastirienne 48%.

How many goals will there be in ES Hammam-Sousse vs US Monastirienne?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for ES Hammam-Sousse vs US Monastirienne?

Our predicted score is ES Hammam-Sousse 0–1 US Monastirienne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is ES Hammam-Sousse vs US Monastirienne?

ES Hammam-Sousse vs US Monastirienne (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.