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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

ES Metlaoui v Club Africain: numbers & prediction

Ligue 1 · Tunisia · Metlaoui Municipal stadium
0–1
FT
ES Metlaoui 20%Draw 26%Club Africain 54% Expected goals 0.63 – 1.28
80%
Betarazi pick

Club Africain or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Club Africain to win @ 2.05 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultClub Africain to win ✓54% · @2.05
Double chanceClub Africain or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.45
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓19% · fair 5.29

ES Metlaoui vs Club Africain: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:30 WAT, Sunday 23 August: ES Metlaoui v Club Africain in the Ligue 1, played at Metlaoui Municipal stadium. In the table, ES Metlaoui are 12th, lower half, on 6 points after 7 matches; Club Africain are 4th (among the top four) with 13.

Current form

ES Metlaoui, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to ES Tunis, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Club Africain, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Olympique Béja, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended Club Africain 5–0 ES Metlaoui.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give ES Metlaoui 0.6 xG, Club Africain 1.3 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – ES Metlaoui 20%, draw 26%, Club Africain 54%.
  • Lower-risk option: Club Africain or draw (80%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.45.
  • Price worth noting: Club Africain to win @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Club Africain or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: ES Metlaoui 0–1 Club Africain. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

ES Metlaoui20%fair 4.99 · @4.00
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @2.70
Club Africain54%fair 1.85 · @2.05
1.91Expected goals
0.63ES Metlaoui xG
1.28Club Africain xG
48%Both score
30%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–119%
0–015%
0–212%
1–112%
1–09%
1–28%

From our goals model: ES Metlaoui 0.6 – 1.3 Club Africain expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultClub Africain to win ✓54%1.852.05 ▲
Double chanceClub Africain or draw ✓80%1.251.22
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.921.45
Draw no betClub Africain (draw no bet) ✓73%1.37–
Asian handicapES Metlaoui +1 (Asian handicap)66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗56%1.791.70
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70%1.431.33
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.05–
First team to scoreClub Africain to score first ✓57%1.75–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓50%2.00–
Half-time / full-timeHT Club Africain / FT Club Africain ✗31%3.28–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓19%5.29–

Recent results

ES Metlaoui – last 6

LDWWWD
17 Mayvs ES Tunis1–3L
14 Mayvs JS Kairouanaise0–0D
4 May@ US Monastirienne1–0W
29 Aprvs ES Sahel2–0W
13 Aprvs AS Marsa1–0W
5 Apr@ US Ben Guerdane0–0D
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Club Africain – last 6

DDWLWW
14 Mayvs Olympique Béja1–1D
29 Apr@ AS Soliman1–1D
5 Aprvs AS Gabes2–0W
22 Mar@ US Monastirienne0–1L
8 Mar@ US Ben Guerdane1–0W
1 Marvs ES Metlaoui5–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Mar 2026Club Africain v ES Metlaoui5–0
ES Metlaoui vs Club Africain head-to-head page →

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1US Ben Guerdane7520+617
2ES Tunis7511+416
3Stade Tunisien7412+313
4Club Africain7412+213
5Monastir7331+212
6Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer7331+312
7CA Bizertin7322+111
8CS Sfaxien7241+210
9Jeunesse Sportive Omrane7241+110
10ES Sahel622208
11AS Marsa6132+16
12ES Metlaoui7205-56
13ES Zarzis7205-26
14CS Hammam-Lif7124-35
15Olympique Béja7034-53
16ES Hammam-Sousse7016-101

More Ligue 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for ES Metlaoui vs Club Africain?

Our pick is Club Africain or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win ES Metlaoui vs Club Africain?

On our numbers ES Metlaoui have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Club Africain 54%.

How many goals will there be in ES Metlaoui vs Club Africain?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for ES Metlaoui vs Club Africain?

Our predicted score is ES Metlaoui 0–1 Club Africain, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is ES Metlaoui vs Club Africain?

ES Metlaoui vs Club Africain (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Metlaoui Municipal stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.