Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.38 – our chance 52% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultES Sahel to win ✓65% · @1.50
Double chanceES Sahel or draw ✓87% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.38
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.55
ES Sahel vs ES Metlaoui: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:30 WAT, Sunday 30 August: ES Sahel v ES Metlaoui in the Ligue 1, played at Stade Olympique de Sousse. In the table, ES Sahel are 10th, lower half, on 8 points after 6 matches; ES Metlaoui are 12th (lower half) with 6. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
ES Sahel, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to ES Tunis, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
ES Metlaoui, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Club Africain, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours ES Metlaoui, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.2 for ES Sahel.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Apr 2026) it ended ES Metlaoui 2–0 ES Sahel.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give ES Sahel 1.9 xG, ES Metlaoui 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – ES Sahel 65%, draw 21%, ES Metlaoui 13%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.38.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.38 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (69%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: ES Sahel 2–0 ES Metlaoui. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
ES Sahel65%fair 1.53 · @1.50
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.55
ES Metlaoui13%fair 7.58 · @6.80
2.63Expected goals
1.91ES Sahel xG
0.72ES Metlaoui xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: ES Sahel 1.9 – 0.7 ES Metlaoui expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for ES Sahel vs ES Metlaoui?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win ES Sahel vs ES Metlaoui?
On our numbers ES Sahel have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and ES Metlaoui 13%.
How many goals will there be in ES Sahel vs ES Metlaoui?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ES Sahel vs ES Metlaoui?
Our predicted score is ES Sahel 2–0 ES Metlaoui, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is ES Sahel vs ES Metlaoui?
ES Sahel vs ES Metlaoui (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Olympique de Sousse.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
