Value bet: Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCS Sfaxien to win ✗38% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.43
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs CS Sfaxien: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 10 October the Ligue 1 brings Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer against CS Sfaxien. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer are 6th, upper half, on 12 points after 7 matches; CS Sfaxien are 8th (upper half) with 10. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Olympique Béja, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
CS Sfaxien, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over CA Bizertin, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.8 for CS Sfaxien.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 0.9 xG, CS Sfaxien 0.9 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 74%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 36%, draw 26%, CS Sfaxien 38%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (51%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 0–0 CS Sfaxien. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer36%fair 2.78 · @3.00
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @2.70
CS Sfaxien38%fair 2.62 · @2.40
1.75Expected goals
0.85Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer xG
0.90CS Sfaxien xG
49%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–017%
0–116%
1–015%
1–113%
0–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 0.9 – 0.9 CS Sfaxien expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CS Sfaxien to win✗
38%
2.62
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.53
Draw no bet
CS Sfaxien (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
CS Sfaxien to score first✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
3.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.43
–
Recent results
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer – last 6
DWDWWW
13 Sep
@ Olympique Béja
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs CS Hammam-Lif
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ AS Marsa
0–0
D
22 Aug
vs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
2–0
W
29 May
@ ES Hammam-Sousse
3–2
W
12 May
vs Redeyef
5–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
CS Sfaxien – last 6
WDWLWD
20 Sep
vs CA Bizertin
2–0
W
16 Sep
@ US Ben Guerdane
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Shooting Stars
2–0
W
5 Sep
@ Shooting Stars
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs ES Zarzis
2–1
W
22 Aug
@ Stade Tunisien
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer and CS Sfaxien.
What is the prediction for Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs CS Sfaxien?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs CS Sfaxien?
On our numbers Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and CS Sfaxien 38%.
How many goals will there be in Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs CS Sfaxien?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs CS Sfaxien?
Our predicted score is Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 0–0 CS Sfaxien, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs CS Sfaxien?
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs CS Sfaxien (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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