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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

ES Sahel v CS Sfaxien: numbers & prediction

Ligue 1 · Tunisia · Stade Olympique de Sousse
1–1
FT
ES Sahel 35%Draw 26%CS Sfaxien 38% Expected goals 0.96 – 1.02
70%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.27 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.27Odds
2

Value bet: CS Sfaxien to win @ 2.97 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultCS Sfaxien to win ✗38% · @2.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.45
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.09

ES Sahel vs CS Sfaxien: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 7 November the Ligue 1 brings ES Sahel against CS Sfaxien at Stade Olympique de Sousse. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, ES Sahel are 10th, lower half, on 8 points after 6 matches; CS Sfaxien are 8th (upper half) with 10. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

ES Sahel, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Olympique Béja, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

CS Sfaxien, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with ES Tunis, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (14 May 2026) it ended CS Sfaxien 3–1 ES Sahel.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give ES Sahel 1.0 xG, CS Sfaxien 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – ES Sahel 35%, draw 26%, CS Sfaxien 38%.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.45.
  • Price worth noting: CS Sfaxien to win @2.97 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.27). Most likely score in line with that pick: ES Sahel 0–1 CS Sfaxien. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

ES Sahel35%fair 2.83 · @2.50
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @2.59
CS Sfaxien38%fair 2.61 · @2.97
1.97Expected goals
0.96ES Sahel xG
1.02CS Sfaxien xG
46%Both score
30%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
0–014%
1–114%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%

From our goals model: ES Sahel 1.0 – 1.0 CS Sfaxien expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCS Sfaxien to win ✗38%2.612.97 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74%1.361.36
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗54%1.861.45
Draw no betCS Sfaxien (draw no bet)52%1.92–
Asian handicapES Sahel +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓56%1.781.71
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70%1.431.27
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.161.04
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.05–
First team to scoreCS Sfaxien to score first44%2.26–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓50%1.99–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✓22%4.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14%7.09–

Recent results

ES Sahel – last 6

WLLDWL
18 Oct@ Olympique Béja2–1W
11 Octvs CS Hammam-Lif0–1L
12 Sep@ AS Marsa0–1L
6 Sepvs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane1–1D
30 Augvs ES Metlaoui2–1W
23 Aug@ ES Tunis2–3L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

CS Sfaxien – last 6

DWDLWD
29 Octvs ES Tunis0–0D
24 Octvs AFAD1–0W
17 Oct@ AFAD1–1D
10 Oct@ Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer0–1L
20 Sepvs CA Bizertin2–0W
16 Sep@ US Ben Guerdane1–1D
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 May 2026CS Sfaxien v ES Sahel3–1
ES Sahel vs CS Sfaxien head-to-head page →

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1US Ben Guerdane7520+617
2ES Tunis7511+416
3Stade Tunisien7412+313
4Club Africain7412+213
5Monastir7331+212
6Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer7331+312
7CA Bizertin7322+111
8CS Sfaxien7241+210
9Jeunesse Sportive Omrane7241+110
10ES Sahel622208
11AS Marsa6132+16
12ES Metlaoui7205-56
13ES Zarzis7205-26
14CS Hammam-Lif7124-35
15Olympique Béja7034-53
16ES Hammam-Sousse7016-101

More Ligue 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for ES Sahel vs CS Sfaxien?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.

Who will win ES Sahel vs CS Sfaxien?

On our numbers ES Sahel have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and CS Sfaxien 38%.

How many goals will there be in ES Sahel vs CS Sfaxien?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for ES Sahel vs CS Sfaxien?

Our predicted score is ES Sahel 0–1 CS Sfaxien, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is ES Sahel vs CS Sfaxien?

ES Sahel vs CS Sfaxien (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Olympique de Sousse.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.