Value bet: Omonia Nicosia to win @ 2.25 – our chance 51% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultOmonia Nicosia to win ✗51% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.61
Omonia Nicosia vs Pafos: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:30 WAT, Thursday 3 September: Omonia Nicosia v Pafos in the Super Cup, played at Alphamega Stadium.
Current form
Omonia Nicosia, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Omonia Aradippou, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Pafos, last 5: WDDDL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Karmiotissa, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (6 May 2026) it ended Pafos 0–2 Omonia Nicosia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Omonia Nicosia 1.6 xG, Pafos 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Omonia Nicosia 51%, draw 22%, Pafos 26%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Omonia Nicosia to win @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Omonia Nicosia 1–1 Pafos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Omonia Nicosia51%fair 1.96 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.25
Pafos26%fair 3.79 · @2.85
2.60Expected goals
1.57Omonia Nicosia xG
1.03Pafos xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Omonia Nicosia 1.6 – 1.0 Pafos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Omonia Nicosia vs Pafos?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Omonia Nicosia vs Pafos?
On our numbers Omonia Nicosia have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Pafos 26%.
How many goals will there be in Omonia Nicosia vs Pafos?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Omonia Nicosia vs Pafos?
Our predicted score is Omonia Nicosia 1–1 Pafos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Omonia Nicosia vs Pafos?
Omonia Nicosia vs Pafos (Super Cup) kicks off on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Alphamega Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Super Cup · Cyprus · Alphamega Stadium
