Caracas FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Estudiantes de Merida FC travel to face Caracas FC on Monday 3 August in the Primera División – the ball rolls at 23:30 WAT. In the table, Caracas FC are 2nd, among the top four, on 6 points after 5 matches; Estudiantes de Merida FC are 9th (in the drop zone) with 17.
Current form
Caracas FC, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Santa Fe, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Estudiantes de Merida FC, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Deportivo Tachira FC, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Caracas FC 1.6 xG, Estudiantes de Merida FC 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Caracas FC 50%, draw 27%, Estudiantes de Merida FC 22%.
Lower-risk option: Caracas FC or draw (78%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Caracas FC or draw (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Caracas FC 1–0 Estudiantes de Merida FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Caracas FC50%fair 1.98 · @1.95
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @3.20
Estudiantes de Merida FC22%fair 4.46 · @3.70
2.53Expected goals
1.55Caracas FC xG
0.98Estudiantes de Merida FC xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%
From our goals model: Caracas FC 1.6 – 1.0 Estudiantes de Merida FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Caracas FC to win✗
50%
1.98
1.95
Double chance
Caracas FC or draw✓
78%
1.29
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.80
Draw no bet
Caracas FC (draw no bet)
69%
1.44
–
Asian handicap
Estudiantes de Merida FC +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.87
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Caracas FC to score first✗
56%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Caracas FC / FT Caracas FC✗
30%
3.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.65
–
Recent results
Caracas FC – last 6
LLDLWD
31 Jul
vs Santa Fe
0–3
L
24 Jul
@ Santa Fe
0–2
L
24 Jun
vs Aragua FC
1–1
D
27 May
vs Botafogo
1–3
L
5 May
@ Independiente Petrolero
3–2
W
29 Apr
vs Racing Club
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Estudiantes de Merida FC – last 6
LLLLWL
31 May
@ Deportivo Tachira FC
0–1
L
17 May
vs Carabobo FC
0–2
L
14 May
@ Carabobo FC
0–1
L
9 May
@ Metropolitanos FC
0–2
L
18 Mar
vs Carabobo FC
3–2
W
6 Mar
vs Deportivo La Guaira
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Caracas FC and Estudiantes de Merida FC.
What is the prediction for Caracas FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
Our pick is Caracas FC or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Caracas FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
On our numbers Caracas FC have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Estudiantes de Merida FC 22%.
How many goals will there be in Caracas FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caracas FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
Our predicted score is Caracas FC 1–0 Estudiantes de Merida FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Caracas FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
Caracas FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 3 August 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
