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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

South Melbourne v Fremantle City: numbers & prediction

Australia Cup · Australia · Lakeside Stadium
3–3
FTPens 3–1
South Melbourne 61%Draw 21%Fremantle City 18% Expected goals 1.94 – 1.11
64%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultSouth Melbourne to win ✗61% · @1.29
Double chanceSouth Melbourne or draw ✓82% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11

South Melbourne vs Fremantle City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 9 August the Australia Cup brings South Melbourne against Fremantle City at Lakeside Stadium. Kick-off: 10:40 WAT.

Current form

South Melbourne, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over St. Albans Saints, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Fremantle City, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Perth, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give South Melbourne 1.9 xG, Fremantle City 1.1 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – South Melbourne 61%, draw 21%, Fremantle City 18%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: South Melbourne 1–1 Fremantle City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

South Melbourne61%fair 1.64 · @1.29
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @5.00
Fremantle City18%fair 5.63 · @8.00
3.05Expected goals
1.94South Melbourne xG
1.11Fremantle City xG
64%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%

From our goals model: South Melbourne 1.9 – 1.1 Fremantle City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSouth Melbourne to win ✗61%1.641.29
Double chanceSouth Melbourne or draw ✓82%1.221.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.571.57
Draw no betSouth Melbourne (draw no bet)77%1.29–
Asian handicapFremantle City +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59%1.70–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗64%1.57–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗81%1.24–
First team to scoreSouth Melbourne to score first61%1.65–
Half-time resultSouth Melbourne ahead at half-time ✗42%2.39–
Half-time / full-timeHT South Melbourne / FT South Melbourne ✗36%2.81–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.11–

Recent results

South Melbourne – last 6

WWWDWW
2 Augvs St. Albans Saints2–0W
30 Julvs Adelaide United2–1W
24 Jul@ Oakleigh Cannons2–1W
18 Julvs Preston Lions0–0D
10 Jul@ Dandenong City2–0W
5 Julvs Dandenong Thunder1–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Fremantle City – last 6

DWWWDW
1 Augvs Perth2–2D
22 Jul@ Maitland2–1W
18 Jul@ Perth RedStar3–0W
11 Jul@ Sorrento2–0W
4 Julvs Bayswater City1–1D
27 Junvs Western Knights3–0W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between South Melbourne and Fremantle City.

South Melbourne vs Fremantle City head-to-head page →

More Australia Cup predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for South Melbourne vs Fremantle City?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win South Melbourne vs Fremantle City?

On our numbers South Melbourne have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Fremantle City 18%.

How many goals will there be in South Melbourne vs Fremantle City?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for South Melbourne vs Fremantle City?

Our predicted score is South Melbourne 1–1 Fremantle City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is South Melbourne vs Fremantle City?

South Melbourne vs Fremantle City (Australia Cup) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 10:40 (West Africa Time) at Lakeside Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.