River Plate 74%Draw 17%Santa Fe 9%Expected goals 1.73 – 0.35
80%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultRiver Plate to win ✗74% · @1.29
Double chanceRiver Plate or draw ✓91% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @1.40
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.64
River Plate vs Santa Fe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
River Plate welcome Santa Fe to Estadio Monumental for a CONMEBOL Sudamericana fixture on Thursday 27 August (01:30 WAT).
Current form
River Plate, last 5: DDWLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Velez Sarsfield, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Santa Fe, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with America de Cali, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Santa Fe, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for River Plate.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Aug 2026) it ended Santa Fe 0–0 River Plate.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give River Plate 1.7 xG, Santa Fe 0.4 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – River Plate 74%, draw 17%, Santa Fe 9%.
GG/NG: NG (56%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: River Plate 1–0 Santa Fe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
River Plate74%fair 1.35 · @1.29
Draw17%fair 5.87 · @4.80
Santa Fe9%fair 11.09 · @12.00
2.08Expected goals
1.73River Plate xG
0.35Santa Fe xG
44%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–022%
2–019%
0–012%
3–011%
1–18%
2–17%
From our goals model: River Plate 1.7 – 0.4 Santa Fe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for River Plate vs Santa Fe?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win River Plate vs Santa Fe?
On our numbers River Plate have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Santa Fe 9%.
How many goals will there be in River Plate vs Santa Fe?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for River Plate vs Santa Fe?
Our predicted score is River Plate 1–0 Santa Fe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is River Plate vs Santa Fe?
River Plate vs Santa Fe (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Thursday 27 August 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
