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Aston Villa W v Manchester City W: numbers & prediction

FA WSL · England · Villa Park
1–4
FT
Aston Villa W 10%Draw 19%Manchester City W 71% Expected goals 0.74 – 2.26
71%
Betarazi pick

Manchester City W to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultManchester City W to win ✓71% · @1.30
Double chanceManchester City W or draw ✓90% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.63

Aston Villa W vs Manchester City W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 13 September the FA WSL brings Aston Villa W against Manchester City W at Villa Park. Kick-off: 18:30 WAT. In the table, Aston Villa W are 9th, lower half, on 10 points after 9 matches; Manchester City W are 1st (leading the league) with 25. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Aston Villa W, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Chelsea W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Manchester City W, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Birmingham City W, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Manchester City W, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.8 for Aston Villa W.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Aston Villa W 0–0 Manchester City W.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Aston Villa W 0.7 xG, Manchester City W 2.3 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Aston Villa W 10%, draw 19%, Manchester City W 71%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Manchester City W to win (71%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aston Villa W 0–2 Manchester City W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Aston Villa W10%fair 9.91 · @8.00
Draw19%fair 5.35 · @5.00
Manchester City W71%fair 1.40 · @1.30
3.00Expected goals
0.74Aston Villa W xG
2.26Manchester City W xG
54%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–213%
0–111%
0–310%
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%

From our goals model: Aston Villa W 0.7 – 2.3 Manchester City W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultManchester City W to win ✓71%1.401.30
Double chanceManchester City W or draw ✓90%1.111.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.841.80
Draw no betManchester City W (draw no bet) ✓88%1.14–
Asian handicapManchester City W -1 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗65%1.55–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗82%1.23–
First team to scoreManchester City W to score first72%1.40–
Half-time resultManchester City W ahead at half-time ✓52%1.93–
Half-time / full-timeHT Manchester City W / FT Manchester City W ✓48%2.09–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.63–

Recent results

Aston Villa W – last 6

DLLLWD
5 Sep@ Chelsea W1–1D
9 Mayvs Arsenal W0–3L
4 Mayvs West Ham W0–2L
29 Mar@ Chelsea W3–4L
22 Mar@ Leicester City WFC2–1W
15 Marvs Manchester City W0–0D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Manchester City W – last 6

WWWWDW
6 Sepvs Birmingham City W3–1W
31 May@ Brighton W4–0W
3 Mayvs Liverpool W1–0W
6 Apr@ Birmingham City W1–0W
15 Mar@ Aston Villa W0–0D
22 Febvs Sheffield United W4–0W
2.2Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Mar 2026Aston Villa W v Manchester City W0–0
Aston Villa W vs Manchester City W head-to-head page →

FA WSL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Manchester City W9810+1725
2Chelsea W9720+2323
3London City Lionesses W9612+1319
4Tottenham Hotspur W9513+716
5Manchester United W9432-115
6Arsenal W9342013
7Brighton W9324+311
8Everton W9324-211
9Aston Villa W9243-610
10Crystal Palace W9234-99
11West Ham W9306-109
12Liverpool W9225-28
13Birmingham City W9135-106
14Charlton Athletic W9009-230

More FA WSL predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aston Villa W vs Manchester City W?

Our pick is Manchester City W to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Aston Villa W vs Manchester City W?

On our numbers Aston Villa W have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Manchester City W 71%.

How many goals will there be in Aston Villa W vs Manchester City W?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Aston Villa W vs Manchester City W?

Our predicted score is Aston Villa W 0–2 Manchester City W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Aston Villa W vs Manchester City W?

Aston Villa W vs Manchester City W (FA WSL) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Villa Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.