Brighton W 58%Draw 21%Aston Villa W 20%Expected goals 1.95 – 1.05
80%
Betarazi pick
Brighton W or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Brighton W to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBrighton W to win ✗58% · @1.85
Double chanceBrighton W or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Brighton W vs Aston Villa W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 20 September the FA WSL brings Brighton W against Aston Villa W at Amex Stadium. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Brighton W are 7th, upper half, on 11 points after 9 matches; Aston Villa W are 9th (lower half) with 10. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Brighton W, last 5: DLLWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Birmingham City W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Aston Villa W, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Manchester City W, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Brighton W 1.9 xG, Aston Villa W 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Brighton W 58%, draw 21%, Aston Villa W 20%.
Lower-risk option: Brighton W or draw (80%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Brighton W to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Brighton W or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Brighton W 1–1 Aston Villa W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Brighton W58%fair 1.71 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.40
Aston Villa W20%fair 4.97 · @3.80
3.00Expected goals
1.95Brighton W xG
1.05Aston Villa W xG
63%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Brighton W 1.9 – 1.1 Aston Villa W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brighton W to win✗
58%
1.71
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Brighton W or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.55
Draw no bet
Brighton W (draw no bet)
74%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Aston Villa W +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Brighton W to score first✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Brighton W ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brighton W / FT Brighton W✗
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.06
–
Recent results
Brighton W – last 6
DLLWDD
13 Sep
@ Birmingham City W
2–2
D
6 Sep
vs Arsenal W
0–1
L
31 May
vs Manchester City W
0–4
L
10 May
@ Liverpool W
3–2
W
6 May
vs Arsenal W
1–1
D
2 May
@ Manchester United W
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Aston Villa W – last 6
LDLLLW
13 Sep
vs Manchester City W
1–4
L
5 Sep
@ Chelsea W
1–1
D
9 May
vs Arsenal W
0–3
L
4 May
vs West Ham W
0–2
L
29 Mar
@ Chelsea W
3–4
L
22 Mar
@ Leicester City WFC
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brighton W and Aston Villa W.
What is the prediction for Brighton W vs Aston Villa W?
Our pick is Brighton W or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Brighton W vs Aston Villa W?
On our numbers Brighton W have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Aston Villa W 20%.
How many goals will there be in Brighton W vs Aston Villa W?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brighton W vs Aston Villa W?
Our predicted score is Brighton W 1–1 Aston Villa W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Brighton W vs Aston Villa W?
Brighton W vs Aston Villa W (FA WSL) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Amex Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
