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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Chelsea W v Arsenal W: numbers & prediction

FA WSL · England · Wheatsheaf Park
1–0
FT
Chelsea W 43%Draw 22%Arsenal W 35% Expected goals 1.08 – 0.92
56%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.77 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.60Odds

Picks by market

ResultChelsea W to win ✓43% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.76

Chelsea W vs Arsenal W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Chelsea W welcome Arsenal W to Wheatsheaf Park for a FA WSL fixture on Sunday 27 September (16:30 WAT). In the table, Chelsea W are 2nd, among the top four, on 23 points after 9 matches; Arsenal W are 6th (upper half) with 13.

Current form

Chelsea W, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Austria Wien W, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Arsenal W, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Køge W, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Apr 2026) it ended Chelsea W 1–0 Arsenal W. The last 2 head-to-heads: Chelsea W 1 win, Arsenal W 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chelsea W 1.1 xG, Arsenal W 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Chelsea W 43%, draw 22%, Arsenal W 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chelsea W 1–1 Arsenal W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chelsea W43%fair 2.32 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.20
Arsenal W35%fair 2.89 · @2.70
2.00Expected goals
1.08Chelsea W xG
0.92Arsenal W xG
56%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%

From our goals model: Chelsea W 1.1 – 0.9 Arsenal W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChelsea W to win ✓43%2.322.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.771.60
Draw no betChelsea W (draw no bet) ✓55%1.80–
Asian handicapArsenal W +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗59%1.68–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.06–
First team to scoreChelsea W to score first ✓47%2.14–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗50%2.01–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chelsea W / FT Chelsea W ✓22%4.59–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7%13.76–

Recent results

Chelsea W – last 6

WWWDWW
23 Sepvs Austria Wien W1–0W
19 Sepvs Birmingham City W2–0W
13 Sep@ Manchester United W5–0W
5 Sepvs Aston Villa W1–1D
2 Sep@ Real Sociedad W1–0W
26 Augvs Real Sociedad W5–2W
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Arsenal W – last 6

WDDWWW
22 Sepvs Køge W1–0W
19 Sepvs Manchester United W1–1D
13 Sepvs Crystal Palace W0–0D
6 Sep@ Brighton W1–0W
13 Mayvs Everton W1–0W
9 May@ Aston Villa W3–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Apr 2026Chelsea W v Arsenal W1–0
24 Mar 2026Arsenal W v Chelsea W3–1
Chelsea W vs Arsenal W head-to-head page →

FA WSL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Manchester City W9810+1725
2Chelsea W9720+2323
3London City Lionesses W9612+1319
4Tottenham Hotspur W9513+716
5Manchester United W9432-115
6Arsenal W9342013
7Brighton W9324+311
8Everton W9324-211
9Aston Villa W9243-610
10Crystal Palace W9234-99
11West Ham W9306-109
12Liverpool W9225-28
13Birmingham City W9135-106
14Charlton Athletic W9009-230

More FA WSL predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chelsea W vs Arsenal W?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Chelsea W vs Arsenal W?

On our numbers Chelsea W have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Arsenal W 35%.

How many goals will there be in Chelsea W vs Arsenal W?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chelsea W vs Arsenal W?

Our predicted score is Chelsea W 1–1 Arsenal W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Chelsea W vs Arsenal W?

Chelsea W vs Arsenal W (FA WSL) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Wheatsheaf Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.